Championship·Regular Season - 18·
Championship·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.042.40safe0.39–2.330.18–1.890.58–4.22safer0.14–2.580.00–2.120.10–4.70
Shots on target
57%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.523.488.00safe2.66–6.391.74–5.224.40–11.61safer2.17–6.881.27–5.693.44–12.57
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8211.0924.91safe9.90–17.757.53–14.6517.42–32.40safer8.80–18.846.57–15.6115.37–34.45
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.717.5817.29safe6.76–12.654.90–10.2611.67–22.91safer5.94–13.484.16–11.0010.10–24.48
Blocked shots
57%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.013.007.02safe2.13–5.891.35–4.663.48–10.55safer1.59–6.440.86–5.152.45–11.59
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.844.4510.30safe3.63–8.052.45–6.456.08–14.51safer3.05–8.631.92–6.994.97–15.62
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.1146.99safe46.32–59.9040.21–53.78safer44.65–61.5738.53–55.45
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction493402896safe426–561336–469762–1029safer408–579318–486726–1065
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction69.9271.71safe65.89–73.9567.39–76.04safer64.60–75.2466.08–77.35
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9811.0121.99safe8.15–13.828.06–13.9516.21–27.77safer7.39–14.587.31–14.7014.70–29.28
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.583.65safe0.91–3.230.49–2.681.40–5.91safer0.61–3.530.20–2.970.81–6.50
Yellow cards
33%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.693.11safe0.38–2.480.56–2.810.94–5.29safer0.11–2.740.27–3.110.38–5.85
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
32%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.463.075.54safe1.03–3.901.52–4.632.54–8.53safer0.64–4.291.09–5.051.73–9.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.40 0.58–4.22 0.10–4.70 | 44% 27% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.52 2.66–6.39 2.17–6.88 | 3.48 1.74–5.22 1.27–5.69 | 8.00 4.40–11.61 3.44–12.57 | 57% 13% 29% |
| Total shots | 13.82 9.90–17.75 8.80–18.84 | 11.09 7.53–14.65 6.57–15.61 | 24.91 17.42–32.40 15.37–34.45 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.71 6.76–12.65 5.94–13.48 | 7.58 4.90–10.26 4.16–11.00 | 17.29 11.67–22.91 10.10–24.48 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.13–5.89 1.59–6.44 | 3.00 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 7.02 3.48–10.55 2.45–11.59 | 57% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.63–8.05 3.05–8.63 | 4.45 2.45–6.45 1.92–6.99 | 10.30 6.08–14.51 4.97–15.62 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 53.11 46.32–59.90 44.65–61.57 | 46.99 40.21–53.78 38.53–55.45 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 493 426–561 408–579 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 896 762–1029 726–1065 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.92 65.89–73.95 64.60–75.24 | 71.71 67.39–76.04 66.08–77.35 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.15–13.82 7.39–14.58 | 11.01 8.06–13.95 7.31–14.70 | 21.99 16.21–27.77 14.70–29.28 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.58 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.97 | 3.65 1.40–5.91 0.81–6.50 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 1.69 0.56–2.81 0.27–3.11 | 3.11 0.94–5.29 0.38–5.85 | 33% 24% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.03–3.90 0.64–4.29 | 3.07 1.52–4.63 1.09–5.05 | 5.54 2.54–8.53 1.73–9.34 | 32% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.