Championship·Regular Season - 19·
Championship·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.252.63safe0.41–2.350.40–2.110.81–4.45safer0.16–2.600.17–2.330.33–4.93
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.434.068.49safe2.57–6.292.32–5.804.88–12.09safer2.08–6.781.85–6.273.93–13.05
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6111.2323.84safe8.68–16.537.67–14.7916.35–31.33safer7.59–17.626.71–15.7514.30–33.38
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.887.8216.70safe5.94–11.825.13–10.5011.07–22.32safer5.11–12.654.40–11.239.51–23.89
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.713.136.84safe1.83–5.591.48–4.783.30–10.37safer1.28–6.130.98–5.282.27–11.41
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.434.479.90safe3.21–7.642.47–6.475.68–14.11safer2.64–8.211.94–7.004.58–15.22
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction43.1256.34safe36.33–49.9249.56–63.13safer34.66–51.5847.89–64.80
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction423563986safe356–490496–629852–1119safer338–508479–647816–1155
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction66.2874.52safe62.25–70.3170.20–78.85safer60.96–71.6068.89–80.15
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8911.6222.51safe8.06–13.738.68–14.5616.73–28.30safer7.30–14.497.93–15.3115.23–29.80
Offsides
62%
17%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.731.594.31safe1.57–3.890.49–2.682.06–6.57safer1.26–4.190.21–2.971.47–7.16
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.133.59safe0.41–2.511.00–3.261.41–5.77safer0.14–2.770.71–3.550.85–6.32
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.155.65safe1.07–3.941.59–4.712.66–8.65safer0.68–4.331.17–5.131.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.25 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.33 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.43 2.57–6.29 2.08–6.78 | 4.06 2.32–5.80 1.85–6.27 | 8.49 4.88–12.09 3.93–13.05 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 12.61 8.68–16.53 7.59–17.62 | 11.23 7.67–14.79 6.71–15.75 | 23.84 16.35–31.33 14.30–33.38 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 8.88 5.94–11.82 5.11–12.65 | 7.82 5.13–10.50 4.40–11.23 | 16.70 11.07–22.32 9.51–23.89 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.83–5.59 1.28–6.13 | 3.13 1.48–4.78 0.98–5.28 | 6.84 3.30–10.37 2.27–11.41 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.21–7.64 2.64–8.21 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.94–7.00 | 9.90 5.68–14.11 4.58–15.22 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 43.12 36.33–49.92 34.66–51.58 | 56.34 49.56–63.13 47.89–64.80 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 423 356–490 338–508 | 563 496–629 479–647 | 986 852–1119 816–1155 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.28 62.25–70.31 60.96–71.60 | 74.52 70.20–78.85 68.89–80.15 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.89 8.06–13.73 7.30–14.49 | 11.62 8.68–14.56 7.93–15.31 | 22.51 16.73–28.30 15.23–29.80 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.73 1.57–3.89 1.26–4.19 | 1.59 0.49–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 4.31 2.06–6.57 1.47–7.16 | 62% 17% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.85–6.32 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 3.15 1.59–4.71 1.17–5.13 | 5.65 2.66–8.65 1.85–9.46 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.