Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.172.58safe0.44–2.370.32–2.030.75–4.40safer0.18–2.620.09–2.260.27–4.88
Shots on target
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.763.868.62safe2.90–6.622.12–5.605.01–12.22safer2.41–7.111.65–6.074.06–13.18
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7111.8126.51safe10.78–18.638.24–15.3719.02–34.00safer9.69–19.727.28–16.3316.97–36.05
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.437.9317.36safe6.48–12.375.25–10.6111.73–22.98safer5.65–13.204.51–11.3510.17–24.55
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.793.327.11safe1.91–5.671.67–4.983.58–10.65safer1.36–6.211.18–5.472.54–11.68
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.844.2410.08safe3.63–8.062.24–6.245.87–14.30safer3.06–8.631.71–6.774.76–15.40
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.9642.61safe51.17–64.7535.83–49.39safer49.50–66.4234.15–51.07
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction527355882safe459–594289–422748–1016safer441–612272–439713–1052
Pass accuracy %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction68.5365.75safe64.50–72.5661.42–70.07safer63.21–73.8560.12–71.38
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9811.0020.98safe7.14–12.828.06–13.9515.20–26.76safer6.39–13.577.31–14.7013.70–28.27
Offsides
41%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.264.54safe1.12–3.441.17–3.352.28–6.79safer0.82–3.740.88–3.641.69–7.38
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.063.56safe0.45–2.550.93–3.191.38–5.74safer0.19–2.820.64–3.480.83–6.30
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.663.285.95safe1.23–4.101.73–4.842.95–8.94safer0.84–4.491.30–5.262.14–9.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.44–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.58 0.75–4.40 0.27–4.88 | 42% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.76 2.90–6.62 2.41–7.11 | 3.86 2.12–5.60 1.65–6.07 | 8.62 5.01–12.22 4.06–13.18 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 14.71 10.78–18.63 9.69–19.72 | 11.81 8.24–15.37 7.28–16.33 | 26.51 19.02–34.00 16.97–36.05 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.43 6.48–12.37 5.65–13.20 | 7.93 5.25–10.61 4.51–11.35 | 17.36 11.73–22.98 10.17–24.55 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 3.32 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 7.11 3.58–10.65 2.54–11.68 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.63–8.06 3.06–8.63 | 4.24 2.24–6.24 1.71–6.77 | 10.08 5.87–14.30 4.76–15.40 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 57.96 51.17–64.75 49.50–66.42 | 42.61 35.83–49.39 34.15–51.07 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 527 459–594 441–612 | 355 289–422 272–439 | 882 748–1016 713–1052 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.53 64.50–72.56 63.21–73.85 | 65.75 61.42–70.07 60.12–71.38 | — | 62% 34% |
| Fouls | 9.98 7.14–12.82 6.39–13.57 | 11.00 8.06–13.95 7.31–14.70 | 20.98 15.20–26.76 13.70–28.27 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.44 0.82–3.74 | 2.26 1.17–3.35 0.88–3.64 | 4.54 2.28–6.79 1.69–7.38 | 41% 19% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 3.28 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.26 | 5.95 2.95–8.94 2.14–9.75 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.