Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
24%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.710.922.63safe0.74–2.680.07–1.780.81–4.46safer0.49–2.930.00–2.000.33–4.94
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.673.499.16safe3.81–7.531.75–5.235.55–12.76safer3.32–8.021.28–5.704.60–13.72
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6910.3627.05safe12.77–20.626.80–13.9219.57–34.54safer11.68–21.715.84–14.8817.51–36.59
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.766.6216.38safe6.81–12.703.94–9.3010.75–22.00safer5.99–13.533.20–10.049.19–23.57
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.592.417.00safe2.71–6.470.75–4.063.46–10.53safer2.16–7.010.26–4.552.43–11.57
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.783.6510.43safe4.56–8.991.65–5.656.22–14.65safer3.99–9.571.12–6.195.11–15.75
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.9137.18safe56.12–69.7030.39–43.96safer54.45–71.3728.72–45.64
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction558305863safe491–626238–371730–997safer473–644221–389694–1033
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction75.5166.59safe71.48–79.5462.27–70.91safer70.19–80.8360.96–72.22
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8114.0525.86safe8.97–14.6511.11–17.0020.08–31.64safer8.22–15.4010.36–17.7518.58–33.15
Offsides
19%
17%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.834.36safe0.37–2.691.74–3.932.11–6.62safer0.07–2.991.45–4.221.52–7.21
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.434.10safe0.62–2.721.30–3.561.92–6.27safer0.35–2.981.01–3.851.36–6.83
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.320.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
21%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.896.27safe0.95–3.822.34–5.453.28–9.27safer0.56–4.211.91–5.872.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.74–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.00 | 2.63 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 56% 24% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.67 3.81–7.53 3.32–8.02 | 3.49 1.75–5.23 1.28–5.70 | 9.16 5.55–12.76 4.60–13.72 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.69 12.77–20.62 11.68–21.71 | 10.36 6.80–13.92 5.84–14.88 | 27.05 19.57–34.54 17.51–36.59 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 9.76 6.81–12.70 5.99–13.53 | 6.62 3.94–9.30 3.20–10.04 | 16.38 10.75–22.00 9.19–23.57 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 2.41 0.75–4.06 0.26–4.55 | 7.00 3.46–10.53 2.43–11.57 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.78 4.56–8.99 3.99–9.57 | 3.65 1.65–5.65 1.12–6.19 | 10.43 6.22–14.65 5.11–15.75 | 79% |
| Possession % | 62.91 56.12–69.70 54.45–71.37 | 37.18 30.39–43.96 28.72–45.64 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 558 491–626 473–644 | 305 238–371 221–389 | 863 730–997 694–1033 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.51 71.48–79.54 70.19–80.83 | 66.59 62.27–70.91 60.96–72.22 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.81 8.97–14.65 8.22–15.40 | 14.05 11.11–17.00 10.36–17.75 | 25.86 20.08–31.64 18.58–33.15 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 2.83 1.74–3.93 1.45–4.22 | 4.36 2.11–6.62 1.52–7.21 | 19% 17% 65% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.10 1.92–6.27 1.36–6.83 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 3.89 2.34–5.45 1.91–5.87 | 6.27 3.28–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 21% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+