Championship·Regular Season - 19·
Championship·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
27%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.432.44safe0.04–1.980.58–2.290.62–4.27safer0.00–2.230.35–2.510.14–4.75
Shots on target
31%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.514.437.94safe1.65–5.372.69–6.174.33–11.54safer1.16–5.862.22–6.643.38–12.50
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3012.8024.10safe7.37–15.229.24–16.3716.61–31.59safer6.28–16.318.28–17.3214.56–33.64
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.938.5516.48safe4.99–10.875.87–11.2310.86–22.11safer4.16–11.705.13–11.979.29–23.67
Blocked shots
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.384.187.56safe1.50–5.262.52–5.834.02–11.09safer0.95–5.802.03–6.322.98–12.13
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.815.6110.43safe2.60–7.033.61–7.616.21–14.64safer2.02–7.603.08–8.155.11–15.75
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.6756.46safe36.88–50.4649.68–63.25safer35.21–52.1348.00–64.92
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction330425755safe262–397358–491621–888safer244–415341–509585–924
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction61.2669.59safe57.23–65.2965.27–73.92safer55.94–66.5863.96–75.23
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6111.9723.58safe8.77–14.459.02–14.9117.80–29.36safer8.02–15.208.28–15.6616.29–30.87
Offsides
56%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.351.533.88safe1.19–3.510.44–2.631.63–6.14safer0.89–3.810.15–2.911.04–6.73
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.063.93safe0.82–2.920.93–3.191.75–6.11safer0.55–3.180.64–3.481.19–6.67
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.872.445.31safe1.44–4.310.88–3.992.32–8.30safer1.05–4.700.46–4.421.51–9.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.51 | 2.44 0.62–4.27 0.14–4.75 | 27% 27% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.51 1.65–5.37 1.16–5.86 | 4.43 2.69–6.17 2.22–6.64 | 7.94 4.33–11.54 3.38–12.50 | 31% 14% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.30 7.37–15.22 6.28–16.31 | 12.80 9.24–16.37 8.28–17.32 | 24.10 16.61–31.59 14.56–33.64 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 7.93 4.99–10.87 4.16–11.70 | 8.55 5.87–11.23 5.13–11.97 | 16.48 10.86–22.11 9.29–23.67 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.38 1.50–5.26 0.95–5.80 | 4.18 2.52–5.83 2.03–6.32 | 7.56 4.02–11.09 2.98–12.13 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.60–7.03 2.02–7.60 | 5.61 3.61–7.61 3.08–8.15 | 10.43 6.21–14.64 5.11–15.75 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 43.67 36.88–50.46 35.21–52.13 | 56.46 49.68–63.25 48.00–64.92 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 330 262–397 244–415 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 755 621–888 585–924 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.26 57.23–65.29 55.94–66.58 | 69.59 65.27–73.92 63.96–75.23 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.61 8.77–14.45 8.02–15.20 | 11.97 9.02–14.91 8.28–15.66 | 23.58 17.80–29.36 16.29–30.87 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.35 1.19–3.51 0.89–3.81 | 1.53 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.91 | 3.88 1.63–6.14 1.04–6.73 | 56% 20% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.93 1.75–6.11 1.19–6.67 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 2.44 0.88–3.99 0.46–4.42 | 5.31 2.32–8.30 1.51–9.12 | 49% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.