Championship·Regular Season - 19·
Championship·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
22%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.910.842.75safe0.94–2.880.00–1.690.92–4.57safer0.69–3.130.00–1.920.44–5.05
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.712.988.69safe3.84–7.571.24–4.735.09–12.30safer3.35–8.060.78–5.194.13–13.25
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction15.879.0324.90safe11.94–19.795.47–12.5917.41–32.38safer10.85–20.884.51–13.5515.36–34.43
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.906.6117.51safe7.95–13.843.93–9.2911.89–23.13safer7.13–14.673.19–10.0310.32–24.70
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.092.697.78safe3.21–6.971.03–4.344.24–11.31safer2.67–7.520.54–4.833.21–12.35
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.683.6810.36safe4.47–8.891.68–5.686.15–14.57safer3.89–9.471.15–6.215.04–15.68
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.9037.59safe56.11–69.6930.81–44.38safer54.44–71.3629.14–46.05
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction575324899safe508–642258–391766–1033safer490–661240–408730–1069
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction76.4768.21safe72.44–80.5063.89–72.54safer71.15–81.7962.58–73.85
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8712.5422.41safe7.04–12.719.59–15.4816.63–28.19safer6.28–13.478.84–16.2315.12–29.70
Offsides
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.923.88safe0.80–3.120.83–3.011.62–6.13safer0.49–3.420.54–3.301.03–6.72
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.282.203.48safe0.23–2.331.07–3.331.30–5.66safer0.00–2.600.78–3.620.75–6.22
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
20%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.143.605.75safe0.70–3.582.05–5.162.75–8.74safer0.32–3.961.62–5.591.94–9.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 0.84 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 2.75 0.92–4.57 0.44–5.05 | 63% 22% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.71 3.84–7.57 3.35–8.06 | 2.98 1.24–4.73 0.78–5.19 | 8.69 5.09–12.30 4.13–13.25 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 15.87 11.94–19.79 10.85–20.88 | 9.03 5.47–12.59 4.51–13.55 | 24.90 17.41–32.38 15.36–34.43 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.90 7.95–13.84 7.13–14.67 | 6.61 3.93–9.29 3.19–10.03 | 17.51 11.89–23.13 10.32–24.70 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 5.09 3.21–6.97 2.67–7.52 | 2.69 1.03–4.34 0.54–4.83 | 7.78 4.24–11.31 3.21–12.35 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 6.68 4.47–8.89 3.89–9.47 | 3.68 1.68–5.68 1.15–6.21 | 10.36 6.15–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 62.90 56.11–69.69 54.44–71.36 | 37.59 30.81–44.38 29.14–46.05 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 575 508–642 490–661 | 324 258–391 240–408 | 899 766–1033 730–1069 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.47 72.44–80.50 71.15–81.79 | 68.21 63.89–72.54 62.58–73.85 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 9.87 7.04–12.71 6.28–13.47 | 12.54 9.59–15.48 8.84–16.23 | 22.41 16.63–28.19 15.12–29.70 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.49–3.42 | 1.92 0.83–3.01 0.54–3.30 | 3.88 1.62–6.13 1.03–6.72 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.28 0.23–2.33 0.00–2.60 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.70–3.58 0.32–3.96 | 3.60 2.05–5.16 1.62–5.59 | 5.75 2.75–8.74 1.94–9.55 | 20% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+