Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.930.982.91safe0.96–2.900.12–1.831.09–4.73safer0.71–3.150.00–2.060.61–5.21
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.413.298.70safe3.55–7.271.55–5.035.09–12.30safer3.06–7.761.08–5.504.14–13.26
Total shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction14.369.3523.71safe10.44–18.285.79–12.9116.22–31.20safer9.34–19.384.83–13.8714.17–33.25
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.686.9716.66safe6.74–12.634.29–9.6511.03–22.28safer5.91–13.463.55–10.399.47–23.85
Blocked shots
74%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.382.226.60safe2.50–6.260.56–3.873.06–10.13safer1.96–6.810.07–4.362.03–11.17
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.273.8610.13safe4.05–8.481.86–5.865.91–14.34safer3.48–9.051.33–6.404.81–15.45
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction58.2342.43safe51.44–65.0235.65–49.22safer49.77–66.6933.97–50.89
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction536370907safe469–604304–437773–1041safer451–622287–454738–1076
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction73.6867.08safe69.65–77.7162.76–71.41safer68.36–79.0061.45–72.72
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2011.0921.29safe7.36–13.048.15–14.0415.51–27.07safer6.60–13.797.40–14.7914.01–28.58
Offsides
21%
16%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.954.66safe0.55–2.871.85–4.042.40–6.91safer0.25–3.171.56–4.331.81–7.50
Yellow cards
31%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.003.58safe0.53–2.620.87–3.131.40–5.75safer0.26–2.890.58–3.420.84–6.31
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.153.385.53safe0.72–3.591.82–4.932.54–8.52safer0.33–3.981.39–5.361.72–9.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.93 0.96–2.90 0.71–3.15 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 60% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.41 3.55–7.27 3.06–7.76 | 3.29 1.55–5.03 1.08–5.50 | 8.70 5.09–12.30 4.14–13.26 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 14.36 10.44–18.28 9.34–19.38 | 9.35 5.79–12.91 4.83–13.87 | 23.71 16.22–31.20 14.17–33.25 | 82% |
| Shots in box | 9.68 6.74–12.63 5.91–13.46 | 6.97 4.29–9.65 3.55–10.39 | 16.66 11.03–22.28 9.47–23.85 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.38 2.50–6.26 1.96–6.81 | 2.22 0.56–3.87 0.07–4.36 | 6.60 3.06–10.13 2.03–11.17 | 74% 14% |
| Corners | 6.27 4.05–8.48 3.48–9.05 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.33–6.40 | 10.13 5.91–14.34 4.81–15.45 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 58.23 51.44–65.02 49.77–66.69 | 42.43 35.65–49.22 33.97–50.89 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 536 469–604 451–622 | 370 304–437 287–454 | 907 773–1041 738–1076 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.68 69.65–77.71 68.36–79.00 | 67.08 62.76–71.41 61.45–72.72 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.20 7.36–13.04 6.60–13.79 | 11.09 8.15–14.04 7.40–14.79 | 21.29 15.51–27.07 14.01–28.58 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 2.95 1.85–4.04 1.56–4.33 | 4.66 2.40–6.91 1.81–7.50 | 21% 16% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.53–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.58 1.40–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 31% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.15 0.72–3.59 0.33–3.98 | 3.38 1.82–4.93 1.39–5.36 | 5.53 2.54–8.52 1.72–9.33 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.