Championship·Regular Season - 19·
Championship·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.362.62safe0.29–2.230.51–2.220.80–4.45safer0.04–2.480.28–2.450.32–4.93
Shots on target
40%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.934.108.03safe2.07–5.792.36–5.854.43–11.64safer1.58–6.281.89–6.313.47–12.59
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5212.7524.27safe7.60–15.459.19–16.3116.78–31.76safer6.51–16.548.23–17.2714.73–33.81
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction7.728.8116.53safe4.78–10.666.13–11.4910.90–22.15safer3.95–11.495.39–12.239.34–23.72
Blocked shots
40%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.623.847.46safe1.74–5.512.19–5.493.93–11.00safer1.20–6.051.69–5.982.89–12.03
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.334.8210.15safe3.12–7.542.82–6.825.94–14.37safer2.54–8.122.29–7.364.83–15.47
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction43.3157.89safe36.52–50.1051.11–64.68safer34.85–51.7749.44–66.35
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction375494869safe308–442428–561736–1003safer289–460410–578700–1039
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction67.8977.60safe63.86–71.9273.28–81.93safer62.57–73.2171.97–83.24
Fouls
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4510.2223.67safe10.62–16.297.27–13.1617.89–29.46safer9.86–17.056.53–13.9116.39–30.96
Offsides
39%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.893.79safe0.73–3.050.80–2.991.53–6.04safer0.43–3.350.51–3.280.94–6.63
Yellow cards
38%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.893.73safe0.79–2.890.76–3.021.55–5.91safer0.53–3.160.47–3.311.00–6.47
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
45%
18%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.802.575.38safe1.37–4.241.02–4.132.39–8.37safer0.98–4.630.59–4.551.57–9.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.36 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.45 | 2.62 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 35% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 3.93 2.07–5.79 1.58–6.28 | 4.10 2.36–5.85 1.89–6.31 | 8.03 4.43–11.64 3.47–12.59 | 40% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 11.52 7.60–15.45 6.51–16.54 | 12.75 9.19–16.31 8.23–17.27 | 24.27 16.78–31.76 14.73–33.81 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 7.72 4.78–10.66 3.95–11.49 | 8.81 6.13–11.49 5.39–12.23 | 16.53 10.90–22.15 9.34–23.72 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 3.84 2.19–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 7.46 3.93–11.00 2.89–12.03 | 40% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.33 3.12–7.54 2.54–8.12 | 4.82 2.82–6.82 2.29–7.36 | 10.15 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.47 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 43.31 36.52–50.10 34.85–51.77 | 57.89 51.11–64.68 49.44–66.35 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 375 308–442 289–460 | 494 428–561 410–578 | 869 736–1003 700–1039 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.89 63.86–71.92 62.57–73.21 | 77.60 73.28–81.93 71.97–83.24 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.45 10.62–16.29 9.86–17.05 | 10.22 7.27–13.16 6.53–13.91 | 23.67 17.89–29.46 16.39–30.96 | 71% 22% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.28 | 3.79 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 39% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.73 1.55–5.91 1.00–6.47 | 38% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 2.57 1.02–4.13 0.59–4.55 | 5.38 2.39–8.37 1.57–9.18 | 45% 18% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.