Championship·Regular Season - 19·
Championship·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.863.05safe0.23–2.161.00–2.711.23–4.87safer0.00–2.410.77–2.940.75–5.35
Shots on target
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.755.429.17safe1.88–5.613.68–7.165.56–12.77safer1.39–6.103.21–7.634.61–13.73
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8013.9325.73safe7.87–15.7210.37–17.5018.24–33.22safer6.78–16.819.41–18.4616.19–35.27
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.119.3817.49safe5.17–11.056.70–12.0611.87–23.11safer4.34–11.885.96–12.8010.30–24.68
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.634.057.69safe1.75–5.522.40–5.714.15–11.22safer1.21–6.061.91–6.203.12–12.26
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.755.099.85safe2.54–6.973.09–7.095.64–14.06safer1.97–7.542.56–7.634.53–15.17
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.8757.95safe36.08–49.6751.16–64.73safer34.41–51.3349.49–66.40
Passes
16%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction389505894safe321–456438–571760–1027safer303–474421–589724–1063
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction65.5773.88safe61.54–69.6069.56–78.21safer60.25–70.8968.25–79.52
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5411.5723.11safe8.70–14.388.62–14.5117.33–28.89safer7.95–15.137.88–15.2615.82–30.40
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.123.97safe0.68–3.001.03–3.221.71–6.22safer0.38–3.300.74–3.511.12–6.81
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.813.75safe0.89–2.990.69–2.941.57–5.93safer0.62–3.250.39–3.231.02–6.49
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
51%
17%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.142.575.71safe1.70–4.571.02–4.132.72–8.70safer1.31–4.960.59–4.551.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.23–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 1.86 1.00–2.71 0.77–2.94 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Shots on target | 3.75 1.88–5.61 1.39–6.10 | 5.42 3.68–7.16 3.21–7.63 | 9.17 5.56–12.77 4.61–13.73 | 23% 65% |
| Total shots | 11.80 7.87–15.72 6.78–16.81 | 13.93 10.37–17.50 9.41–18.46 | 25.73 18.24–33.22 16.19–35.27 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 8.11 5.17–11.05 4.34–11.88 | 9.38 6.70–12.06 5.96–12.80 | 17.49 11.87–23.11 10.30–24.68 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.75–5.52 1.21–6.06 | 4.05 2.40–5.71 1.91–6.20 | 7.69 4.15–11.22 3.12–12.26 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 4.75 2.54–6.97 1.97–7.54 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.56–7.63 | 9.85 5.64–14.06 4.53–15.17 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 42.87 36.08–49.67 34.41–51.33 | 57.95 51.16–64.73 49.49–66.40 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 389 321–456 303–474 | 505 438–571 421–589 | 894 760–1027 724–1063 | 16% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.57 61.54–69.60 60.25–70.89 | 73.88 69.56–78.21 68.25–79.52 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.54 8.70–14.38 7.95–15.13 | 11.57 8.62–14.51 7.88–15.26 | 23.11 17.33–28.89 15.82–30.40 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 2.12 1.03–3.22 0.74–3.51 | 3.97 1.71–6.22 1.12–6.81 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 1.81 0.69–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.14 1.70–4.57 1.31–4.96 | 2.57 1.02–4.13 0.59–4.55 | 5.71 2.72–8.70 1.90–9.51 | 51% 17% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.