Championship·Regular Season - 19·
Championship·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.002.59safe0.62–2.560.15–1.860.77–4.42safer0.37–2.810.00–2.090.29–4.90
Shots on target
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.673.548.21safe2.81–6.531.80–5.284.61–11.82safer2.32–7.021.33–5.753.65–12.77
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1310.7026.83safe12.21–20.067.13–14.2619.34–34.32safer11.12–21.156.17–15.2217.29–36.37
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.786.9416.71safe6.84–12.724.26–9.6211.09–22.34safer6.01–13.553.52–10.359.52–23.90
Blocked shots
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.332.837.16safe2.44–6.211.18–4.493.62–10.70safer1.90–6.750.69–4.982.59–11.73
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.854.1610.01safe3.64–8.062.16–6.165.80–14.23safer3.06–8.641.63–6.704.69–15.33
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.1147.12safe46.32–59.9040.34–53.91safer44.65–61.5738.67–55.58
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction479403882safe412–547336–469748–1016safer394–565319–487713–1052
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction71.3670.71safe67.33–75.3966.38–75.03safer66.04–76.6865.08–76.34
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6110.6522.26safe8.78–14.457.70–13.5916.48–28.04safer8.02–15.216.95–14.3414.97–29.55
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.663.32safe0.50–2.820.57–2.761.07–5.58safer0.20–3.120.28–3.040.48–6.16
Yellow cards
30%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.153.79safe0.59–2.691.02–3.281.61–5.97safer0.32–2.950.73–3.571.05–6.52
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
29%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.175.54safe0.94–3.811.61–4.722.55–8.54safer0.55–4.201.19–5.151.74–9.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.00 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.59 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.67 2.81–6.53 2.32–7.02 | 3.54 1.80–5.28 1.33–5.75 | 8.21 4.61–11.82 3.65–12.77 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.13 12.21–20.06 11.12–21.15 | 10.70 7.13–14.26 6.17–15.22 | 26.83 19.34–34.32 17.29–36.37 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 9.78 6.84–12.72 6.01–13.55 | 6.94 4.26–9.62 3.52–10.35 | 16.71 11.09–22.34 9.52–23.90 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.44–6.21 1.90–6.75 | 2.83 1.18–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 7.16 3.62–10.70 2.59–11.73 | 64% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 5.85 3.64–8.06 3.06–8.64 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.63–6.70 | 10.01 5.80–14.23 4.69–15.33 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 53.11 46.32–59.90 44.65–61.57 | 47.12 40.34–53.91 38.67–55.58 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 479 412–547 394–565 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 882 748–1016 713–1052 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.36 67.33–75.39 66.04–76.68 | 70.71 66.38–75.03 65.08–76.34 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 11.61 8.78–14.45 8.02–15.21 | 10.65 7.70–13.59 6.95–14.34 | 22.26 16.48–28.04 14.97–29.55 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.04 | 3.32 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.16 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.95 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.05–6.52 | 30% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 3.17 1.61–4.72 1.19–5.15 | 5.54 2.55–8.54 1.74–9.35 | 29% 17% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.