Championship·Regular Season - 19·
Championship·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.292.94safe0.68–2.620.44–2.151.12–4.76safer0.43–2.870.21–2.370.64–5.24
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.094.049.14safe3.23–6.952.30–5.795.53–12.74safer2.74–7.441.84–6.254.58–13.70
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1311.0527.18safe12.20–20.057.49–14.6219.69–34.67safer11.11–21.146.53–15.5717.64–36.72
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.697.9218.61safe7.75–13.635.24–10.6012.99–24.24safer6.92–14.464.50–11.3411.42–25.80
Blocked shots
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.633.127.76safe2.75–6.521.47–4.784.22–11.29safer2.21–7.060.98–5.273.19–12.33
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.724.4210.14safe3.50–7.932.42–6.425.93–14.35safer2.93–8.501.89–6.964.82–15.46
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction47.8452.08safe41.05–54.6345.30–58.87safer39.38–56.3043.63–60.54
Passes
39%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction420452872safe353–487386–518738–1006safer335–506368–536703–1042
Pass accuracy %
27%
68%
homeawayprediction71.3675.52safe67.33–75.3971.20–79.85safer66.04–76.6969.89–81.16
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1112.0625.17safe10.27–15.949.12–15.0119.39–30.95safer9.51–16.708.37–15.7617.88–32.46
Offsides
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.474.11safe0.48–2.801.37–3.561.85–6.36safer0.18–3.101.09–3.851.26–6.95
Yellow cards
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.394.21safe0.78–2.881.26–3.522.04–6.39safer0.51–3.140.97–3.811.48–6.95
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.145.63safe1.06–3.931.58–4.692.64–8.62safer0.67–4.321.16–5.121.83–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.68–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 1.29 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.37 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.09 3.23–6.95 2.74–7.44 | 4.04 2.30–5.79 1.84–6.25 | 9.14 5.53–12.74 4.58–13.70 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 16.13 12.20–20.05 11.11–21.14 | 11.05 7.49–14.62 6.53–15.57 | 27.18 19.69–34.67 17.64–36.72 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.69 7.75–13.63 6.92–14.46 | 7.92 5.24–10.60 4.50–11.34 | 18.61 12.99–24.24 11.42–25.80 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.63 2.75–6.52 2.21–7.06 | 3.12 1.47–4.78 0.98–5.27 | 7.76 4.22–11.29 3.19–12.33 | 64% 23% |
| Corners | 5.72 3.50–7.93 2.93–8.50 | 4.42 2.42–6.42 1.89–6.96 | 10.14 5.93–14.35 4.82–15.46 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 47.84 41.05–54.63 39.38–56.30 | 52.08 45.30–58.87 43.63–60.54 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 335–506 | 452 386–518 368–536 | 872 738–1006 703–1042 | 39% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.36 67.33–75.39 66.04–76.69 | 75.52 71.20–79.85 69.89–81.16 | — | 27% 68% |
| Fouls | 13.11 10.27–15.94 9.51–16.70 | 12.06 9.12–15.01 8.37–15.76 | 25.17 19.39–30.95 17.88–32.46 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 2.47 1.37–3.56 1.09–3.85 | 4.11 1.85–6.36 1.26–6.95 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.14 | 2.39 1.26–3.52 0.97–3.81 | 4.21 2.04–6.39 1.48–6.95 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.14 1.58–4.69 1.16–5.12 | 5.63 2.64–8.62 1.83–9.43 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+