Championship·Regular Season - 20·
Championship·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.242.87safe0.66–2.600.38–2.091.04–4.69safer0.41–2.850.15–2.320.56–5.17
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.253.879.12safe3.39–7.112.13–5.625.52–12.73safer2.90–7.601.67–6.084.56–13.68
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3011.7728.07safe12.38–20.238.21–15.3420.59–35.56safer11.28–21.327.25–16.2918.54–37.61
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.898.0318.92safe7.95–13.835.35–10.7113.30–24.54safer7.12–14.664.61–11.4511.73–26.11
Blocked shots
60%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.553.307.85safe2.67–6.431.64–4.954.31–11.38safer2.12–6.981.15–5.443.28–12.42
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction6.084.6110.69safe3.87–8.292.61–6.616.47–14.90safer3.29–8.872.07–7.145.37–16.01
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction49.8250.17safe43.03–56.6143.38–56.95safer41.36–58.2841.71–58.62
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction388399787safe321–455333–466653–921safer303–473315–483618–956
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction67.4870.81safe63.45–71.5166.48–75.13safer62.16–72.8065.17–76.44
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0112.3523.37safe8.18–13.859.41–15.3017.58–29.15safer7.42–14.618.66–16.0516.08–30.65
Offsides
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.073.96safe0.74–3.060.97–3.161.71–6.22safer0.44–3.360.69–3.451.12–6.81
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.274.14safe0.81–2.911.15–3.401.96–6.32safer0.55–3.180.85–3.691.40–6.87
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.386.01safe1.19–4.061.83–4.943.02–9.00safer0.80–4.451.40–5.362.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.25 3.39–7.11 2.90–7.60 | 3.87 2.13–5.62 1.67–6.08 | 9.12 5.52–12.73 4.56–13.68 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 16.30 12.38–20.23 11.28–21.32 | 11.77 8.21–15.34 7.25–16.29 | 28.07 20.59–35.56 18.54–37.61 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.89 7.95–13.83 7.12–14.66 | 8.03 5.35–10.71 4.61–11.45 | 18.92 13.30–24.54 11.73–26.11 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.55 2.67–6.43 2.12–6.98 | 3.30 1.64–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 7.85 4.31–11.38 3.28–12.42 | 60% 13% 26% |
| Corners | 6.08 3.87–8.29 3.29–8.87 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.07–7.14 | 10.69 6.47–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 49.82 43.03–56.61 41.36–58.28 | 50.17 43.38–56.95 41.71–58.62 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 388 321–455 303–473 | 399 333–466 315–483 | 787 653–921 618–956 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.48 63.45–71.51 62.16–72.80 | 70.81 66.48–75.13 65.17–76.44 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 11.01 8.18–13.85 7.42–14.61 | 12.35 9.41–15.30 8.66–16.05 | 23.37 17.58–29.15 16.08–30.65 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 2.07 0.97–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 3.96 1.71–6.22 1.12–6.81 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 2.27 1.15–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.40–6.87 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 3.38 1.83–4.94 1.40–5.36 | 6.01 3.02–9.00 2.21–9.82 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.