Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
25%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.612.77safe0.19–2.130.75–2.460.94–4.59safer0.00–2.380.53–2.690.46–5.07
Shots on target
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.454.998.44safe1.59–5.313.25–6.734.84–12.05safer1.10–5.802.78–7.203.88–13.00
Total shots
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6814.7125.39safe6.76–14.6111.15–18.2717.90–32.88safer5.66–15.7010.19–19.2315.85–34.93
Shots in box
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction6.809.7516.55safe3.85–9.747.07–12.4310.93–22.17safer3.03–10.576.33–13.179.36–23.74
Blocked shots
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.834.707.53safe0.94–4.713.05–6.363.99–11.07safer0.40–5.252.56–6.852.96–12.10
Corners
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.445.229.65safe2.22–6.653.22–7.225.44–13.87safer1.65–7.222.68–7.754.33–14.97
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction45.5855.75safe38.79–52.3748.96–62.53safer37.12–54.0447.29–64.20
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction386487873safe319–454420–553739–1007safer301–472403–571704–1043
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction67.3276.95safe63.29–71.3572.63–81.28safer62.00–72.6571.32–82.59
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4111.6823.10safe8.58–14.258.74–14.6317.32–28.88safer7.82–15.017.99–15.3815.81–30.39
Offsides
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.871.595.46safe2.71–5.030.50–2.683.21–7.71safer2.41–5.330.21–2.972.62–8.30
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.082.164.23safe1.03–3.131.03–3.292.06–6.41safer0.76–3.390.74–3.581.50–6.97
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
51%
17%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.072.495.55safe1.63–4.500.93–4.042.56–8.55safer1.24–4.890.51–4.471.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.61 0.75–2.46 0.53–2.69 | 2.77 0.94–4.59 0.46–5.07 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.45 1.59–5.31 1.10–5.80 | 4.99 3.25–6.73 2.78–7.20 | 8.44 4.84–12.05 3.88–13.00 | 24% 64% |
| Total shots | 10.68 6.76–14.61 5.66–15.70 | 14.71 11.15–18.27 10.19–19.23 | 25.39 17.90–32.88 15.85–34.93 | 18% 76% |
| Shots in box | 6.80 3.85–9.74 3.03–10.57 | 9.75 7.07–12.43 6.33–13.17 | 16.55 10.93–22.17 9.36–23.74 | 20% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 2.83 0.94–4.71 0.40–5.25 | 4.70 3.05–6.36 2.56–6.85 | 7.53 3.99–11.07 2.96–12.10 | 19% 69% |
| Corners | 4.44 2.22–6.65 1.65–7.22 | 5.22 3.22–7.22 2.68–7.75 | 9.65 5.44–13.87 4.33–14.97 | 34% 53% |
| Possession % | 45.58 38.79–52.37 37.12–54.04 | 55.75 48.96–62.53 47.29–64.20 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 386 319–454 301–472 | 487 420–553 403–571 | 873 739–1007 704–1043 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.32 63.29–71.35 62.00–72.65 | 76.95 72.63–81.28 71.32–82.59 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.58–14.25 7.82–15.01 | 11.68 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.38 | 23.10 17.32–28.88 15.81–30.39 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 3.87 2.71–5.03 2.41–5.33 | 1.59 0.50–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 5.46 3.21–7.71 2.62–8.30 | 78% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.76–3.39 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 4.23 2.06–6.41 1.50–6.97 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.63–4.50 1.24–4.89 | 2.49 0.93–4.04 0.51–4.47 | 5.55 2.56–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 51% 17% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.