Championship·Regular Season - 20·
Championship·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
27%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.022.42safe0.44–2.370.17–1.880.60–4.25safer0.18–2.620.00–2.100.12–4.73
Shots on target
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.407.55safe2.29–6.021.65–5.143.95–11.16safer1.80–6.511.19–5.602.99–12.11
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction13.759.7323.48safe9.83–17.686.16–13.2915.99–30.97safer8.74–18.775.21–14.2513.94–33.02
Shots in box
73%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction9.716.7216.44safe6.77–12.664.04–9.4010.81–22.06safer5.94–13.493.30–10.149.25–23.63
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.813.076.88safe1.93–5.691.41–4.723.34–10.41safer1.39–6.240.92–5.212.31–11.45
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.714.3710.08safe3.50–7.922.37–6.375.86–14.29safer2.92–8.501.83–6.904.76–15.40
Possession %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction47.4152.92safe40.62–54.2046.13–59.70safer38.95–55.8744.46–61.37
Passes
41%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction381407788safe314–448340–473654–921safer296–466323–491618–957
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction61.1967.55safe57.16–65.2263.22–71.87safer55.87–66.5161.92–73.18
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1612.4524.61safe9.32–15.009.50–15.3918.82–30.39safer8.57–15.758.75–16.1417.32–31.89
Offsides
49%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.774.02safe1.08–3.400.68–2.861.76–6.27safer0.78–3.700.39–3.151.17–6.86
Yellow cards
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.343.90safe0.51–2.611.21–3.471.72–6.08safer0.24–2.870.92–3.761.16–6.63
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
34%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.704.99safe0.86–3.731.14–4.252.00–7.98safer0.47–4.120.72–4.681.19–8.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.44–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.10 | 2.42 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 46% 27% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.16 2.29–6.02 1.80–6.51 | 3.40 1.65–5.14 1.19–5.60 | 7.55 3.95–11.16 2.99–12.11 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Total shots | 13.75 9.83–17.68 8.74–18.77 | 9.73 6.16–13.29 5.21–14.25 | 23.48 15.99–30.97 13.94–33.02 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.71 6.77–12.66 5.94–13.49 | 6.72 4.04–9.40 3.30–10.14 | 16.44 10.81–22.06 9.25–23.63 | 73% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 3.81 1.93–5.69 1.39–6.24 | 3.07 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 6.88 3.34–10.41 2.31–11.45 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.71 3.50–7.92 2.92–8.50 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.83–6.90 | 10.08 5.86–14.29 4.76–15.40 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 47.41 40.62–54.20 38.95–55.87 | 52.92 46.13–59.70 44.46–61.37 | — | 35% 61% |
| Passes | 381 314–448 296–466 | 407 340–473 323–491 | 788 654–921 618–957 | 41% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.19 57.16–65.22 55.87–66.51 | 67.55 63.22–71.87 61.92–73.18 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 12.16 9.32–15.00 8.57–15.75 | 12.45 9.50–15.39 8.75–16.14 | 24.61 18.82–30.39 17.32–31.89 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.24 1.08–3.40 0.78–3.70 | 1.77 0.68–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 4.02 1.76–6.27 1.17–6.86 | 49% 20% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.16–6.63 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 2.70 1.14–4.25 0.72–4.68 | 4.99 2.00–7.98 1.19–8.79 | 34% 18% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.