Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.152.92safe0.80–2.740.30–2.011.10–4.74safer0.55–2.990.07–2.240.62–5.22
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.789.30safe3.65–7.382.04–5.535.70–12.91safer3.16–7.871.58–5.994.74–13.86
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4110.5325.94safe11.48–19.336.97–14.1018.46–33.43safer10.39–20.436.01–15.0616.40–35.48
Shots in box
80%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.446.4316.87safe7.49–13.383.75–9.1111.24–22.49safer6.66–14.213.01–9.859.68–24.06
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.387.23safe1.97–5.731.73–5.033.69–10.77safer1.43–6.281.23–5.522.66–11.80
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.129.89safe3.55–7.982.12–6.135.68–14.10safer2.98–8.551.59–6.664.57–15.21
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction52.3548.72safe45.56–59.1441.93–55.50safer43.89–60.8140.26–57.17
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction487444932safe420–554378–511798–1065safer402–573360–528762–1101
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction74.0475.05safe70.01–78.0770.73–79.38safer68.72–79.3669.42–80.69
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7714.5226.29safe8.93–14.6011.58–17.4720.51–32.07safer8.17–15.3610.83–18.2119.00–33.57
Offsides
54%
18%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.741.994.73safe1.58–3.900.90–3.092.48–6.99safer1.28–4.200.61–3.371.89–7.58
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.284.04safe0.71–2.811.15–3.411.87–6.22safer0.45–3.080.86–3.701.31–6.78
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
29%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.533.395.93safe1.10–3.971.84–4.952.93–8.92safer0.71–4.361.41–5.372.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.92 1.10–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.52 3.65–7.38 3.16–7.87 | 3.78 2.04–5.53 1.58–5.99 | 9.30 5.70–12.91 4.74–13.86 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.41 11.48–19.33 10.39–20.43 | 10.53 6.97–14.10 6.01–15.06 | 25.94 18.46–33.43 16.40–35.48 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.44 7.49–13.38 6.66–14.21 | 6.43 3.75–9.11 3.01–9.85 | 16.87 11.24–22.49 9.68–24.06 | 80% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.73 1.43–6.28 | 3.38 1.73–5.03 1.23–5.52 | 7.23 3.69–10.77 2.66–11.80 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.55–7.98 2.98–8.55 | 4.12 2.12–6.13 1.59–6.66 | 9.89 5.68–14.10 4.57–15.21 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 52.35 45.56–59.14 43.89–60.81 | 48.72 41.93–55.50 40.26–57.17 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 487 420–554 402–573 | 444 378–511 360–528 | 932 798–1065 762–1101 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.04 70.01–78.07 68.72–79.36 | 75.05 70.73–79.38 69.42–80.69 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 11.77 8.93–14.60 8.17–15.36 | 14.52 11.58–17.47 10.83–18.21 | 26.29 20.51–32.07 19.00–33.57 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 2.74 1.58–3.90 1.28–4.20 | 1.99 0.90–3.09 0.61–3.37 | 4.73 2.48–6.99 1.89–7.58 | 54% 18% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 4.04 1.87–6.22 1.31–6.78 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 3.39 1.84–4.95 1.41–5.37 | 5.93 2.93–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 29% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+