Championship·Regular Season - 20·
Championship·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.612.98safe0.41–2.340.75–2.461.16–4.80safer0.16–2.590.52–2.690.68–5.28
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.404.829.22safe2.53–6.263.08–6.565.61–12.82safer2.04–6.752.61–7.034.66–13.78
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7113.6127.31safe9.79–17.6310.04–17.1719.83–34.80safer8.69–18.739.08–18.1317.78–36.85
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction9.139.7918.93safe6.19–12.087.11–12.4813.31–24.55safer5.36–12.916.38–13.2111.74–26.12
Blocked shots
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.704.648.34safe1.81–5.582.99–6.294.80–11.87safer1.27–6.122.50–6.793.77–12.91
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.325.0810.40safe3.11–7.533.08–7.086.19–14.62safer2.53–8.112.55–7.625.08–15.72
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.6853.74safe39.89–53.4746.95–60.52safer38.22–55.1445.28–62.19
Passes
30%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction439500938safe371–506433–566805–1072safer353–524416–584769–1108
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction70.6277.39safe66.59–74.6573.06–81.71safer65.30–75.9471.75–83.02
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4810.2120.69safe7.64–13.327.26–13.1514.91–26.47safer6.89–14.086.51–13.9013.40–27.98
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.623.52safe0.74–3.060.53–2.711.26–5.77safer0.44–3.360.24–3.000.67–6.36
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.673.23safe0.51–2.610.55–2.801.05–5.41safer0.24–2.870.25–3.090.50–5.97
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.060.11safe0.00–0.210.00–0.250.00–0.45safer0.00–0.350.00–0.380.00–0.74
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.086.44safe1.92–4.791.52–4.643.45–9.43safer1.53–5.181.10–5.062.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.34 0.16–2.59 | 1.61 0.75–2.46 0.52–2.69 | 2.98 1.16–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.53–6.26 2.04–6.75 | 4.82 3.08–6.56 2.61–7.03 | 9.22 5.61–12.82 4.66–13.78 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.71 9.79–17.63 8.69–18.73 | 13.61 10.04–17.17 9.08–18.13 | 27.31 19.83–34.80 17.78–36.85 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 9.13 6.19–12.08 5.36–12.91 | 9.79 7.11–12.48 6.38–13.21 | 18.93 13.31–24.55 11.74–26.12 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.81–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 4.64 2.99–6.29 2.50–6.79 | 8.34 4.80–11.87 3.77–12.91 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Corners | 5.32 3.11–7.53 2.53–8.11 | 5.08 3.08–7.08 2.55–7.62 | 10.40 6.19–14.62 5.08–15.72 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 46.68 39.89–53.47 38.22–55.14 | 53.74 46.95–60.52 45.28–62.19 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 439 371–506 353–524 | 500 433–566 416–584 | 938 805–1072 769–1108 | 30% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.62 66.59–74.65 65.30–75.94 | 77.39 73.06–81.71 71.75–83.02 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 10.48 7.64–13.32 6.89–14.08 | 10.21 7.26–13.15 6.51–13.90 | 20.69 14.91–26.47 13.40–27.98 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.62 0.53–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.52 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.36 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 1.67 0.55–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.50–5.97 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.35 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.45 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 3.36 1.92–4.79 1.53–5.18 | 3.08 1.52–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.63–10.24 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+