Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
28%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.390.812.20safe0.42–2.350.00–1.670.38–4.02safer0.17–2.610.00–1.900.00–4.50
Shots on target
61%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.067.38safe2.46–6.191.32–4.803.78–10.99safer1.97–6.680.85–5.272.82–11.94
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction13.569.4623.01safe9.63–17.485.89–13.0215.53–30.50safer8.54–18.574.93–13.9813.48–32.55
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.126.8215.94safe6.18–12.064.14–9.5010.31–21.56safer5.35–12.893.40–10.238.75–23.13
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.452.897.34safe2.57–6.331.24–4.543.80–10.87safer2.02–6.880.74–5.032.77–11.91
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.844.099.93safe3.62–8.052.09–6.095.71–14.14safer3.05–8.621.56–6.624.61–15.25
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.5339.95safe52.74–66.3233.16–46.73safer51.07–67.9931.49–48.40
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction540347886safe472–607280–413753–1020safer454–625263–431717–1056
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction69.1866.47safe65.15–73.2162.15–70.79safer63.86–74.5160.84–72.10
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7111.9122.62safe7.88–13.558.96–14.8516.84–28.40safer7.12–14.318.21–15.6015.33–29.91
Offsides
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.683.18safe0.34–2.660.59–2.770.93–5.44safer0.04–2.970.30–3.060.34–6.03
Yellow cards
22%
22%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.993.15safe0.10–2.200.87–3.120.97–5.32safer0.00–2.470.57–3.410.41–5.88
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.11safe0.00–0.210.00–0.250.00–0.46safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.352.905.25safe0.91–3.781.34–4.462.25–8.24safer0.52–4.170.92–4.881.44–9.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.35 0.17–2.61 | 0.81 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 2.20 0.38–4.02 0.00–4.50 | 50% 28% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.46–6.19 1.97–6.68 | 3.06 1.32–4.80 0.85–5.27 | 7.38 3.78–10.99 2.82–11.94 | 61% 14% 26% |
| Total shots | 13.56 9.63–17.48 8.54–18.57 | 9.46 5.89–13.02 4.93–13.98 | 23.01 15.53–30.50 13.48–32.55 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.12 6.18–12.06 5.35–12.89 | 6.82 4.14–9.50 3.40–10.23 | 15.94 10.31–21.56 8.75–23.13 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.45 2.57–6.33 2.02–6.88 | 2.89 1.24–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 7.34 3.80–10.87 2.77–11.91 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.62–8.05 3.05–8.62 | 4.09 2.09–6.09 1.56–6.62 | 9.93 5.71–14.14 4.61–15.25 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 59.53 52.74–66.32 51.07–67.99 | 39.95 33.16–46.73 31.49–48.40 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 540 472–607 454–625 | 347 280–413 263–431 | 886 753–1020 717–1056 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.18 65.15–73.21 63.86–74.51 | 66.47 62.15–70.79 60.84–72.10 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 10.71 7.88–13.55 7.12–14.31 | 11.91 8.96–14.85 8.21–15.60 | 22.62 16.84–28.40 15.33–29.91 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.97 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.18 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.15 0.10–2.20 0.00–2.47 | 1.99 0.87–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.15 0.97–5.32 0.41–5.88 | 22% 22% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 2.90 1.34–4.46 0.92–4.88 | 5.25 2.25–8.24 1.44–9.05 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+