Championship·Regular Season - 20·
Championship·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.242.64safe0.43–2.370.38–2.090.81–4.46safer0.18–2.620.15–2.320.33–4.94
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.864.248.09safe1.99–5.722.49–5.984.49–11.70safer1.50–6.212.03–6.443.53–12.65
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2912.4124.70safe8.37–16.228.85–15.9717.21–32.19safer7.28–17.317.89–16.9315.16–34.24
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.118.5816.69safe5.17–11.055.90–11.2611.07–22.31safer4.34–11.885.16–12.009.50–23.88
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.593.997.58safe1.71–5.472.34–5.644.04–11.11safer1.16–6.021.84–6.133.01–12.15
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.324.7410.06safe3.11–7.532.74–6.745.84–14.27safer2.53–8.112.20–7.274.74–15.38
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.6049.50safe43.81–57.3942.72–56.29safer42.14–59.0641.05–57.96
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction432389821safe365–499323–456688–955safer347–518305–473652–991
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction66.0469.55safe62.01–70.0765.22–73.87safer60.72–71.3663.91–75.18
Fouls
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction13.089.9523.02safe10.24–15.917.00–12.8917.24–28.80safer9.48–16.676.25–13.6415.73–30.31
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.623.35safe0.57–2.900.52–2.711.10–5.60safer0.27–3.200.23–3.000.51–6.19
Yellow cards
53%
20%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.653.96safe1.27–3.370.52–2.771.78–6.14safer1.00–3.630.22–3.071.23–6.70
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.892.495.38safe1.46–4.330.93–4.042.39–8.37safer1.07–4.720.51–4.471.58–9.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.64 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 1.99–5.72 1.50–6.21 | 4.24 2.49–5.98 2.03–6.44 | 8.09 4.49–11.70 3.53–12.65 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 12.29 8.37–16.22 7.28–17.31 | 12.41 8.85–15.97 7.89–16.93 | 24.70 17.21–32.19 15.16–34.24 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 8.11 5.17–11.05 4.34–11.88 | 8.58 5.90–11.26 5.16–12.00 | 16.69 11.07–22.31 9.50–23.88 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.71–5.47 1.16–6.02 | 3.99 2.34–5.64 1.84–6.13 | 7.58 4.04–11.11 3.01–12.15 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 5.32 3.11–7.53 2.53–8.11 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.20–7.27 | 10.06 5.84–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 50.60 43.81–57.39 42.14–59.06 | 49.50 42.72–56.29 41.05–57.96 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 432 365–499 347–518 | 389 323–456 305–473 | 821 688–955 652–991 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.04 62.01–70.07 60.72–71.36 | 69.55 65.22–73.87 63.91–75.18 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 13.08 10.24–15.91 9.48–16.67 | 9.95 7.00–12.89 6.25–13.64 | 23.02 17.24–28.80 15.73–30.31 | 71% 22% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.57–2.90 0.27–3.20 | 1.62 0.52–2.71 0.23–3.00 | 3.35 1.10–5.60 0.51–6.19 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.32 1.27–3.37 1.00–3.63 | 1.65 0.52–2.77 0.22–3.07 | 3.96 1.78–6.14 1.23–6.70 | 53% 20% 27% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.46–4.33 1.07–4.72 | 2.49 0.93–4.04 0.51–4.47 | 5.38 2.39–8.37 1.58–9.18 | 48% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+