Championship·Regular Season - 20·
Championship·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
26%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.492.44safe0.00–1.910.64–2.350.62–4.26safer0.00–2.170.41–2.580.14–4.74
Shots on target
29%
13%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.484.517.98safe1.61–5.342.76–6.254.38–11.59safer1.12–5.832.30–6.723.42–12.54
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9813.2825.26safe8.05–15.909.71–16.8417.77–32.74safer6.96–16.998.76–17.8015.72–34.79
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.239.1516.38safe4.29–10.176.47–11.8310.76–22.01safer3.46–11.005.74–12.579.19–23.57
Blocked shots
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.434.137.56safe1.55–5.322.47–5.784.02–11.09safer1.01–5.861.98–6.272.99–12.13
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.425.499.91safe2.21–6.633.49–7.495.70–14.12safer1.63–7.212.96–8.024.59–15.23
Possession %
15%
83%
homeawayprediction41.8958.71safe35.10–48.6851.93–65.50safer33.43–50.3550.25–67.17
Passes
13%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction343475817safe275–410408–541684–951safer257–428391–559648–987
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction60.1172.99safe56.08–64.1468.67–77.31safer54.79–65.4367.36–78.62
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3311.9323.26safe8.49–14.178.99–14.8817.48–29.04safer7.74–14.928.24–15.6215.97–30.55
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.583.30safe0.56–2.880.49–2.671.05–5.55safer0.26–3.180.20–2.960.46–6.14
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.863.91safe1.00–3.090.73–2.991.73–6.08safer0.73–3.360.44–3.281.17–6.64
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
45%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.872.625.49safe1.43–4.301.07–4.182.50–8.48safer1.04–4.690.64–4.601.69–9.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.17 | 1.49 0.64–2.35 0.41–2.58 | 2.44 0.62–4.26 0.14–4.74 | 24% 26% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.48 1.61–5.34 1.12–5.83 | 4.51 2.76–6.25 2.30–6.72 | 7.98 4.38–11.59 3.42–12.54 | 29% 13% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.98 8.05–15.90 6.96–16.99 | 13.28 9.71–16.84 8.76–17.80 | 25.26 17.77–32.74 15.72–34.79 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 7.23 4.29–10.17 3.46–11.00 | 9.15 6.47–11.83 5.74–12.57 | 16.38 10.76–22.01 9.19–23.57 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.43 1.55–5.32 1.01–5.86 | 4.13 2.47–5.78 1.98–6.27 | 7.56 4.02–11.09 2.99–12.13 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.42 2.21–6.63 1.63–7.21 | 5.49 3.49–7.49 2.96–8.02 | 9.91 5.70–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 41.89 35.10–48.68 33.43–50.35 | 58.71 51.93–65.50 50.25–67.17 | — | 15% 83% |
| Passes | 343 275–410 257–428 | 475 408–541 391–559 | 817 684–951 648–987 | 13% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.11 56.08–64.14 54.79–65.43 | 72.99 68.67–77.31 67.36–78.62 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 11.33 8.49–14.17 7.74–14.92 | 11.93 8.99–14.88 8.24–15.62 | 23.26 17.48–29.04 15.97–30.55 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.58 0.49–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.09 0.73–3.36 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.91 1.73–6.08 1.17–6.64 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 2.62 1.07–4.18 0.64–4.60 | 5.49 2.50–8.48 1.69–9.29 | 45% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.