Championship·Regular Season - 20·
Championship·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.332.73safe0.44–2.370.47–2.180.91–4.55safer0.19–2.630.24–2.410.43–5.03
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.354.108.45safe2.48–6.212.36–5.844.84–12.05safer1.99–6.701.89–6.313.89–13.01
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5211.5926.11safe10.60–18.448.02–15.1518.62–33.59safer9.50–19.547.06–16.1116.57–35.64
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.338.0817.41safe6.39–12.275.40–10.7611.79–23.03safer5.56–13.104.66–11.5010.22–24.60
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.993.247.23safe2.11–5.881.59–4.893.70–10.77safer1.57–6.421.09–5.382.66–11.80
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.594.8310.43safe3.38–7.812.83–6.836.21–14.64safer2.80–8.382.30–7.375.11–15.75
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction48.3851.59safe41.59–55.1744.81–58.38safer39.92–56.8443.14–60.05
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction384412797safe317–451346–479663–930safer299–470328–496627–966
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction66.6870.60safe62.65–70.7166.28–74.92safer61.36–72.0064.97–76.23
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6211.8023.42safe8.78–14.458.86–14.7517.64–29.20safer8.02–15.218.11–15.5016.13–30.71
Offsides
28%
18%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.624.54safe0.75–3.081.53–3.722.28–6.79safer0.45–3.381.24–4.001.69–7.38
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.693.57safe0.83–2.930.56–2.821.39–5.75safer0.56–3.200.27–3.110.83–6.30
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.065.62safe1.13–4.001.50–4.622.63–8.62safer0.74–4.391.08–5.041.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.37 0.19–2.63 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.41 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.48–6.21 1.99–6.70 | 4.10 2.36–5.84 1.89–6.31 | 8.45 4.84–12.05 3.89–13.01 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.52 10.60–18.44 9.50–19.54 | 11.59 8.02–15.15 7.06–16.11 | 26.11 18.62–33.59 16.57–35.64 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.33 6.39–12.27 5.56–13.10 | 8.08 5.40–10.76 4.66–11.50 | 17.41 11.79–23.03 10.22–24.60 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.88 1.57–6.42 | 3.24 1.59–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 7.23 3.70–10.77 2.66–11.80 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.38–7.81 2.80–8.38 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.30–7.37 | 10.43 6.21–14.64 5.11–15.75 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 48.38 41.59–55.17 39.92–56.84 | 51.59 44.81–58.38 43.14–60.05 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 384 317–451 299–470 | 412 346–479 328–496 | 797 663–930 627–966 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.68 62.65–70.71 61.36–72.00 | 70.60 66.28–74.92 64.97–76.23 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 11.62 8.78–14.45 8.02–15.21 | 11.80 8.86–14.75 8.11–15.50 | 23.42 17.64–29.20 16.13–30.71 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.08 0.45–3.38 | 2.62 1.53–3.72 1.24–4.00 | 4.54 2.28–6.79 1.69–7.38 | 28% 18% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.20 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.83–6.30 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.06 1.50–4.62 1.08–5.04 | 5.62 2.63–8.62 1.82–9.43 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.