Championship·Regular Season - 20·
Championship·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.082.97safe0.93–2.860.23–1.931.15–4.80safer0.68–3.110.00–2.160.67–5.28
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.543.889.42safe3.68–7.402.14–5.625.81–13.02safer3.19–7.891.67–6.094.86–13.98
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9611.6327.59safe12.03–19.888.07–15.1920.10–35.07safer10.94–20.977.11–16.1518.05–37.12
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.907.6818.58safe7.96–13.845.00–10.3612.96–24.20safer7.13–14.674.26–11.1011.39–25.77
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.043.657.69safe2.16–5.922.00–5.304.16–11.23safer1.62–6.471.51–5.803.12–12.26
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.844.029.86safe3.63–8.052.02–6.025.65–14.08safer3.05–8.631.49–6.564.54–15.18
Possession %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction56.8743.52safe50.08–63.6636.73–50.30safer48.41–65.3335.06–51.97
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction563401963safe495–630334–467830–1097safer477–648317–485794–1133
Pass accuracy %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction75.1472.15safe71.11–79.1767.83–76.48safer69.82–80.4666.52–77.79
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1511.9822.13safe7.32–12.999.03–14.9216.35–27.91safer6.56–13.758.28–15.6714.84–29.41
Offsides
67%
16%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.871.444.31safe1.71–4.030.34–2.532.06–6.56safer1.41–4.340.05–2.821.47–7.15
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.053.49safe0.39–2.490.92–3.181.32–5.67safer0.13–2.760.63–3.470.76–6.23
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
28%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.753.686.43safe1.32–4.192.12–5.243.44–9.43safer0.93–4.581.70–5.662.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.93–2.86 0.68–3.11 | 1.08 0.23–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.97 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 56% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.54 3.68–7.40 3.19–7.89 | 3.88 2.14–5.62 1.67–6.09 | 9.42 5.81–13.02 4.86–13.98 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.96 12.03–19.88 10.94–20.97 | 11.63 8.07–15.19 7.11–16.15 | 27.59 20.10–35.07 18.05–37.12 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 10.90 7.96–13.84 7.13–14.67 | 7.68 5.00–10.36 4.26–11.10 | 18.58 12.96–24.20 11.39–25.77 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.92 1.62–6.47 | 3.65 2.00–5.30 1.51–5.80 | 7.69 4.16–11.23 3.12–12.26 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.63–8.05 3.05–8.63 | 4.02 2.02–6.02 1.49–6.56 | 9.86 5.65–14.08 4.54–15.18 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 56.87 50.08–63.66 48.41–65.33 | 43.52 36.73–50.30 35.06–51.97 | — | 77% 20% |
| Passes | 563 495–630 477–648 | 401 334–467 317–485 | 963 830–1097 794–1133 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.14 71.11–79.17 69.82–80.46 | 72.15 67.83–76.48 66.52–77.79 | — | 63% 33% |
| Fouls | 10.15 7.32–12.99 6.56–13.75 | 11.98 9.03–14.92 8.28–15.67 | 22.13 16.35–27.91 14.84–29.41 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.87 1.71–4.03 1.41–4.34 | 1.44 0.34–2.53 0.05–2.82 | 4.31 2.06–6.56 1.47–7.15 | 67% 16% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.49 1.32–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.68 2.12–5.24 1.70–5.66 | 6.43 3.44–9.43 2.63–10.24 | 28% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+