Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.412.63safe0.25–2.190.55–2.260.80–4.45safer0.00–2.440.32–2.490.32–4.93
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.168.30safe2.28–6.002.42–5.904.70–11.91safer1.79–6.491.95–6.373.74–12.86
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3211.4824.80safe9.40–17.247.92–15.0417.31–32.29safer8.30–18.346.96–16.0015.26–34.34
Shots in box
33%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction7.708.9716.67safe4.76–10.646.29–11.6511.05–22.29safer3.93–11.475.55–12.399.48–23.86
Blocked shots
57%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.546.05safe1.62–5.390.89–4.202.51–9.58safer1.08–5.930.40–4.691.48–10.62
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.214.9810.19safe3.00–7.422.98–6.985.98–14.41safer2.42–8.002.45–7.524.87–15.52
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction50.1650.38safe43.37–56.9543.59–57.16safer41.70–58.6241.92–58.83
Passes
55%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction446432878safe379–513365–498744–1012safer361–531348–516709–1047
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction66.5468.72safe62.51–70.5764.39–73.04safer61.22–71.8663.09–74.35
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0310.7821.82safe8.19–13.877.84–13.7316.03–27.60safer7.44–14.627.09–14.4814.53–29.10
Offsides
75%
homeawaytotalprediction1.523.555.06safe0.35–2.682.46–4.642.81–7.32safer0.05–2.982.17–4.932.22–7.91
Yellow cards
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.613.33safe0.67–2.770.48–2.741.15–5.51safer0.40–3.030.19–3.030.59–6.06
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.642.925.56safe1.20–4.071.36–4.482.56–8.55safer0.81–4.460.94–4.901.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.41 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.63 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.28–6.00 1.79–6.49 | 4.16 2.42–5.90 1.95–6.37 | 8.30 4.70–11.91 3.74–12.86 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.32 9.40–17.24 8.30–18.34 | 11.48 7.92–15.04 6.96–16.00 | 24.80 17.31–32.29 15.26–34.34 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 7.70 4.76–10.64 3.93–11.47 | 8.97 6.29–11.65 5.55–12.39 | 16.67 11.05–22.29 9.48–23.86 | 33% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.62–5.39 1.08–5.93 | 2.54 0.89–4.20 0.40–4.69 | 6.05 2.51–9.58 1.48–10.62 | 57% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 5.21 3.00–7.42 2.42–8.00 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.45–7.52 | 10.19 5.98–14.41 4.87–15.52 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 50.16 43.37–56.95 41.70–58.62 | 50.38 43.59–57.16 41.92–58.83 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 446 379–513 361–531 | 432 365–498 348–516 | 878 744–1012 709–1047 | 55% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.54 62.51–70.57 61.22–71.86 | 68.72 64.39–73.04 63.09–74.35 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 11.03 8.19–13.87 7.44–14.62 | 10.78 7.84–13.73 7.09–14.48 | 21.82 16.03–27.60 14.53–29.10 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.35–2.68 0.05–2.98 | 3.55 2.46–4.64 2.17–4.93 | 5.06 2.81–7.32 2.22–7.91 | 75% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.40–3.03 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.06 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 2.92 1.36–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 5.56 2.56–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+