Championship·Regular Season - 21·
Championship·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.452.94safe0.52–2.460.60–2.311.12–4.77safer0.27–2.710.37–2.540.64–5.24
Shots on target
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.214.479.68safe3.35–7.082.72–6.216.08–13.29safer2.86–7.572.26–6.685.12–14.24
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3512.9529.30safe12.43–20.289.38–16.5121.81–36.78safer11.33–21.378.42–17.4719.76–38.84
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction10.129.3919.51safe7.18–13.066.71–12.0813.89–25.14safer6.35–13.895.98–12.8112.32–26.70
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.423.407.83safe2.54–6.311.75–5.064.29–11.36safer2.00–6.851.26–5.553.26–12.40
Corners
57%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.794.7410.53safe3.58–8.002.74–6.746.32–14.75safer3.00–8.582.21–7.285.21–15.86
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction49.8950.07safe43.10–56.6843.28–56.85safer41.43–58.3541.61–58.52
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction454462916safe387–521396–528782–1049safer368–539378–546746–1085
Pass accuracy %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction74.0275.99safe69.99–78.0571.67–80.31safer68.70–79.3470.36–81.62
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2112.4324.64safe9.37–15.059.49–15.3818.86–30.42safer8.61–15.808.74–16.1317.35–31.93
Offsides
20%
16%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.733.054.78safe0.57–2.891.96–4.152.53–7.04safer0.27–3.191.67–4.441.94–7.63
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.142.254.38safe1.09–3.181.12–3.382.20–6.56safer0.82–3.450.83–3.671.65–7.12
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.656.61safe1.53–4.402.09–5.213.62–9.60safer1.14–4.791.67–5.632.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.45 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 2.94 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.24 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Shots on target | 5.21 3.35–7.08 2.86–7.57 | 4.47 2.72–6.21 2.26–6.68 | 9.68 6.08–13.29 5.12–14.24 | 53% 34% |
| Total shots | 16.35 12.43–20.28 11.33–21.37 | 12.95 9.38–16.51 8.42–17.47 | 29.30 21.81–36.78 19.76–38.84 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 10.12 7.18–13.06 6.35–13.89 | 9.39 6.71–12.08 5.98–12.81 | 19.51 13.89–25.14 12.32–26.70 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.42 2.54–6.31 2.00–6.85 | 3.40 1.75–5.06 1.26–5.55 | 7.83 4.29–11.36 3.26–12.40 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.79 3.58–8.00 3.00–8.58 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.21–7.28 | 10.53 6.32–14.75 5.21–15.86 | 57% 32% |
| Possession % | 49.89 43.10–56.68 41.43–58.35 | 50.07 43.28–56.85 41.61–58.52 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 454 387–521 368–539 | 462 396–528 378–546 | 916 782–1049 746–1085 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.02 69.99–78.05 68.70–79.34 | 75.99 71.67–80.31 70.36–81.62 | — | 38% 58% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.37–15.05 8.61–15.80 | 12.43 9.49–15.38 8.74–16.13 | 24.64 18.86–30.42 17.35–31.93 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 3.05 1.96–4.15 1.67–4.44 | 4.78 2.53–7.04 1.94–7.63 | 20% 16% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.18 0.82–3.45 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.38 2.20–6.56 1.65–7.12 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.79 | 3.65 2.09–5.21 1.67–5.63 | 6.61 3.62–9.60 2.81–10.42 | 32% 15% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+