Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
26%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction0.961.462.43safe0.00–1.930.61–2.320.60–4.25safer0.00–2.180.38–2.550.12–4.73
Shots on target
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.384.417.79safe1.52–5.252.67–6.154.19–11.40safer1.03–5.742.20–6.623.23–12.35
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4712.7224.18safe7.54–15.399.15–16.2816.70–31.67safer6.45–16.488.20–17.2414.64–33.72
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction7.627.6115.24safe4.68–10.574.93–10.299.61–20.86safer3.85–11.404.19–11.038.05–22.43
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.776.88safe1.22–4.992.12–5.433.34–10.41safer0.68–5.531.63–5.922.31–11.45
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.645.329.96safe2.43–6.863.32–7.325.75–14.17safer1.86–7.432.78–7.854.64–15.28
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.2465.84safe27.45–41.0359.05–72.62safer25.78–42.7057.38–74.29
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction308600908safe241–375534–667775–1042safer222–393516–684739–1078
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction62.6077.38safe58.57–66.6373.06–81.71safer57.28–67.9271.75–83.02
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0010.3822.38safe9.16–14.837.44–13.3216.59–28.16safer8.40–15.596.69–14.0715.09–29.66
Offsides
63%
17%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.811.584.38safe1.65–3.970.48–2.672.13–6.64safer1.35–4.270.19–2.961.54–7.23
Yellow cards
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.623.30safe0.64–2.730.49–2.751.12–5.48safer0.37–3.000.20–3.040.57–6.04
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
48%
18%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.732.345.07safe1.30–4.170.78–3.892.08–8.06safer0.91–4.560.35–4.321.26–8.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.18 | 1.46 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 2.43 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 25% 26% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.38 1.52–5.25 1.03–5.74 | 4.41 2.67–6.15 2.20–6.62 | 7.79 4.19–11.40 3.23–12.35 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.47 7.54–15.39 6.45–16.48 | 12.72 9.15–16.28 8.20–17.24 | 24.18 16.70–31.67 14.64–33.72 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 7.62 4.68–10.57 3.85–11.40 | 7.61 4.93–10.29 4.19–11.03 | 15.24 9.61–20.86 8.05–22.43 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.22–4.99 0.68–5.53 | 3.77 2.12–5.43 1.63–5.92 | 6.88 3.34–10.41 2.31–11.45 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.64 2.43–6.86 1.86–7.43 | 5.32 3.32–7.32 2.78–7.85 | 9.96 5.75–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 34.24 27.45–41.03 25.78–42.70 | 65.84 59.05–72.62 57.38–74.29 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 308 241–375 222–393 | 600 534–667 516–684 | 908 775–1042 739–1078 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.60 58.57–66.63 57.28–67.92 | 77.38 73.06–81.71 71.75–83.02 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 12.00 9.16–14.83 8.40–15.59 | 10.38 7.44–13.32 6.69–14.07 | 22.38 16.59–28.16 15.09–29.66 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.81 1.65–3.97 1.35–4.27 | 1.58 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.96 | 4.38 2.13–6.64 1.54–7.23 | 63% 17% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.64–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 1.62 0.49–2.75 0.20–3.04 | 3.30 1.12–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 2.34 0.78–3.89 0.35–4.32 | 5.07 2.08–8.06 1.26–8.87 | 48% 18% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+