Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.892.092.98safe0.00–1.851.24–2.951.15–4.80safer0.00–2.111.01–3.170.68–5.28
Shots on target
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.315.218.52safe1.44–5.173.47–6.964.91–12.12safer0.95–5.663.00–7.423.96–13.08
Total shots
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0415.7826.82safe7.12–14.9712.22–19.3419.34–34.31safer6.03–16.0611.26–20.3017.29–36.36
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9110.3417.25safe3.97–9.867.66–13.0211.63–22.88safer3.14–10.686.92–13.7610.06–24.44
Blocked shots
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.584.947.52safe0.70–4.463.29–6.593.99–11.06safer0.16–5.012.80–7.092.95–12.09
Corners
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.025.769.78safe1.81–6.243.76–7.765.57–14.00safer1.23–6.813.23–8.304.46–15.11
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.5563.24safe30.76–44.3456.45–70.02safer29.09–46.0154.78–71.70
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction312517829safe245–379451–584696–963safer227–397433–601660–999
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction58.2075.89safe54.18–62.2371.57–80.21safer52.88–63.5370.26–81.52
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3810.1422.51safe9.54–15.217.19–13.0816.73–28.30safer8.78–15.976.44–13.8315.23–29.80
Offsides
74%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction3.501.575.07safe2.34–4.660.48–2.662.81–7.32safer2.04–4.960.19–2.952.22–7.91
Yellow cards
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.643.66safe0.97–3.070.52–2.771.49–5.84safer0.70–3.330.22–3.060.93–6.40
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.272.505.77safe1.84–4.710.94–4.062.78–8.77safer1.45–5.100.52–4.481.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.85 0.00–2.11 | 2.09 1.24–2.95 1.01–3.17 | 2.98 1.15–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 15% 20% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.31 1.44–5.17 0.95–5.66 | 5.21 3.47–6.96 3.00–7.42 | 8.52 4.91–12.12 3.96–13.08 | 20% 68% |
| Total shots | 11.04 7.12–14.97 6.03–16.06 | 15.78 12.22–19.34 11.26–20.30 | 26.82 19.34–34.31 17.29–36.36 | 15% 79% |
| Shots in box | 6.91 3.97–9.86 3.14–10.68 | 10.34 7.66–13.02 6.92–13.76 | 17.25 11.63–22.88 10.06–24.44 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 2.58 0.70–4.46 0.16–5.01 | 4.94 3.29–6.59 2.80–7.09 | 7.52 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.09 | 14% 75% |
| Corners | 4.02 1.81–6.24 1.23–6.81 | 5.76 3.76–7.76 3.23–8.30 | 9.78 5.57–14.00 4.46–15.11 | 23% 65% |
| Possession % | 37.55 30.76–44.34 29.09–46.01 | 63.24 56.45–70.02 54.78–71.70 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 312 245–379 227–397 | 517 451–584 433–601 | 829 696–963 660–999 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 58.20 54.18–62.23 52.88–63.53 | 75.89 71.57–80.21 70.26–81.52 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 12.38 9.54–15.21 8.78–15.97 | 10.14 7.19–13.08 6.44–13.83 | 22.51 16.73–28.30 15.23–29.80 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 3.50 2.34–4.66 2.04–4.96 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 5.07 2.81–7.32 2.22–7.91 | 74% 13% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 1.64 0.52–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 3.66 1.49–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.84–4.71 1.45–5.10 | 2.50 0.94–4.06 0.52–4.48 | 5.77 2.78–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.