Championship·Regular Season - 21·
Championship·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.492.77safe0.31–2.250.64–2.350.95–4.59safer0.06–2.500.41–2.580.47–5.07
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.044.448.48safe2.18–5.902.70–6.184.87–12.08safer1.69–6.392.23–6.653.92–13.04
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4613.2825.75safe8.54–16.399.72–16.8518.26–33.24safer7.45–17.488.76–17.8116.21–35.29
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.589.0717.66safe5.64–11.526.39–11.7512.03–23.28safer4.81–12.355.65–12.4910.47–24.85
Blocked shots
42%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.084.128.20safe2.20–5.962.47–5.774.67–11.74safer1.65–6.511.98–6.273.63–12.77
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.375.1710.54safe3.16–7.583.17–7.176.32–14.75safer2.58–8.162.63–7.705.22–15.86
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.0052.17safe41.21–54.7945.39–58.96safer39.54–56.4643.72–60.63
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction373395769safe306–440329–462635–902safer288–459311–479599–938
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction65.7870.61safe61.75–69.8166.29–74.94safer60.46–71.1164.98–76.25
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0211.8022.82safe8.18–13.858.86–14.7517.04–28.60safer7.42–14.618.11–15.5015.53–30.11
Offsides
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.252.184.43safe1.09–3.411.09–3.282.18–6.69safer0.79–3.710.80–3.561.59–7.27
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.133.96safe0.79–2.881.00–3.261.78–6.14safer0.52–3.150.71–3.551.23–6.70
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.092.645.72safe1.65–4.521.08–4.192.73–8.72safer1.26–4.910.66–4.621.92–9.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.49 0.64–2.35 0.41–2.58 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.90 1.69–6.39 | 4.44 2.70–6.18 2.23–6.65 | 8.48 4.87–12.08 3.92–13.04 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 12.46 8.54–16.39 7.45–17.48 | 13.28 9.72–16.85 8.76–17.81 | 25.75 18.26–33.24 16.21–35.29 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 8.58 5.64–11.52 4.81–12.35 | 9.07 6.39–11.75 5.65–12.49 | 17.66 12.03–23.28 10.47–24.85 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.96 1.65–6.51 | 4.12 2.47–5.77 1.98–6.27 | 8.20 4.67–11.74 3.63–12.77 | 42% 14% 43% |
| Corners | 5.37 3.16–7.58 2.58–8.16 | 5.17 3.17–7.17 2.63–7.70 | 10.54 6.32–14.75 5.22–15.86 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 48.00 41.21–54.79 39.54–56.46 | 52.17 45.39–58.96 43.72–60.63 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 373 306–440 288–459 | 395 329–462 311–479 | 769 635–902 599–938 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.78 61.75–69.81 60.46–71.11 | 70.61 66.29–74.94 64.98–76.25 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 11.02 8.18–13.85 7.42–14.61 | 11.80 8.86–14.75 8.11–15.50 | 22.82 17.04–28.60 15.53–30.11 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.25 1.09–3.41 0.79–3.71 | 2.18 1.09–3.28 0.80–3.56 | 4.43 2.18–6.69 1.59–7.27 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.79–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.96 1.78–6.14 1.23–6.70 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 2.64 1.08–4.19 0.66–4.62 | 5.72 2.73–8.72 1.92–9.53 | 49% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.