Championship·Regular Season - 21·
Championship·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.051.872.92safe0.08–2.021.01–2.721.09–4.74safer0.00–2.270.78–2.950.61–5.22
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.855.259.10safe1.99–5.713.51–6.995.49–12.70safer1.50–6.203.04–7.464.54–13.66
Total shots
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3513.3725.72safe8.43–16.289.81–16.9318.24–33.21safer7.34–17.378.85–17.8916.19–35.26
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.919.4217.33safe4.96–10.856.74–12.1011.71–22.95safer4.13–11.686.01–12.8410.14–24.52
Blocked shots
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.604.458.05safe1.72–5.482.80–6.114.52–11.59safer1.17–6.022.31–6.603.48–12.62
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.745.6610.40safe2.53–6.963.66–7.666.19–14.62safer1.96–7.533.13–8.195.08–15.72
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction38.0262.84safe31.23–44.8156.06–69.63safer29.56–46.4854.39–71.30
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction316546863safe249–384480–613729–996safer231–402462–630693–1032
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction63.2976.08safe59.26–67.3271.75–80.40safer57.97–68.6170.44–81.71
Fouls
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2510.2421.49safe8.41–14.097.29–13.1815.71–27.27safer7.66–14.846.55–13.9314.20–28.78
Offsides
23%
18%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.684.35safe0.50–2.821.59–3.782.09–6.60safer0.20–3.131.30–4.071.51–7.19
Yellow cards
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.583.50safe0.88–2.980.45–2.701.33–5.68safer0.61–3.240.16–3.000.77–6.24
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.202.715.90safe1.76–4.631.15–4.262.91–8.90safer1.37–5.020.73–4.692.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 1.87 1.01–2.72 0.78–2.95 | 2.92 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 21% 22% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.85 1.99–5.71 1.50–6.20 | 5.25 3.51–6.99 3.04–7.46 | 9.10 5.49–12.70 4.54–13.66 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 12.35 8.43–16.28 7.34–17.37 | 13.37 9.81–16.93 8.85–17.89 | 25.72 18.24–33.21 16.19–35.26 | 38% 54% |
| Shots in box | 7.91 4.96–10.85 4.13–11.68 | 9.42 6.74–12.10 6.01–12.84 | 17.33 11.71–22.95 10.14–24.52 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.60 1.72–5.48 1.17–6.02 | 4.45 2.80–6.11 2.31–6.60 | 8.05 4.52–11.59 3.48–12.62 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 4.74 2.53–6.96 1.96–7.53 | 5.66 3.66–7.66 3.13–8.19 | 10.40 6.19–14.62 5.08–15.72 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 38.02 31.23–44.81 29.56–46.48 | 62.84 56.06–69.63 54.39–71.30 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 316 249–384 231–402 | 546 480–613 462–630 | 863 729–996 693–1032 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.29 59.26–67.32 57.97–68.61 | 76.08 71.75–80.40 70.44–81.71 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 11.25 8.41–14.09 7.66–14.84 | 10.24 7.29–13.18 6.55–13.93 | 21.49 15.71–27.27 14.20–28.78 | 54% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.13 | 2.68 1.59–3.78 1.30–4.07 | 4.35 2.09–6.60 1.51–7.19 | 23% 18% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.24 | 1.58 0.45–2.70 0.16–3.00 | 3.50 1.33–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.20 1.76–4.63 1.37–5.02 | 2.71 1.15–4.26 0.73–4.69 | 5.90 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+