Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.242.72safe0.52–2.450.38–2.090.90–4.54safer0.26–2.700.16–2.320.42–5.02
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.604.168.76safe2.74–6.462.42–5.905.16–12.37safer2.25–6.951.95–6.374.20–13.32
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3213.2328.55safe11.39–19.249.66–16.7921.06–36.03safer10.30–20.338.71–17.7519.01–38.08
Shots in box
57%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction9.448.1517.59safe6.50–12.385.47–10.8311.97–23.21safer5.67–13.214.73–11.5710.40–24.78
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.343.838.18safe2.46–6.232.18–5.494.64–11.71safer1.92–6.771.69–5.983.61–12.75
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.5610.07safe3.30–7.732.56–6.565.86–14.28safer2.73–8.302.02–7.094.75–15.39
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.3451.37safe42.55–56.1344.58–58.15safer40.88–57.8042.91–59.83
Passes
45%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction441455896safe374–508388–521762–1029safer356–526371–539726–1065
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction70.3875.36safe66.35–74.4171.03–79.68safer65.06–75.7069.72–80.99
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2911.7522.04safe7.46–13.138.81–14.7016.26–27.83safer6.70–13.898.06–15.4414.76–29.33
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.233.13safe0.73–3.050.14–2.330.87–5.38safer0.43–3.350.00–2.620.28–5.97
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.893.64safe0.71–2.800.76–3.011.46–5.82safer0.44–3.070.46–3.310.90–6.38
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.025.88safe1.42–4.291.46–4.572.88–8.87safer1.03–4.681.04–5.002.07–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.52–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.16–2.32 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.60 2.74–6.46 2.25–6.95 | 4.16 2.42–5.90 1.95–6.37 | 8.76 5.16–12.37 4.20–13.32 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 15.32 11.39–19.24 10.30–20.33 | 13.23 9.66–16.79 8.71–17.75 | 28.55 21.06–36.03 19.01–38.08 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.44 6.50–12.38 5.67–13.21 | 8.15 5.47–10.83 4.73–11.57 | 17.59 11.97–23.21 10.40–24.78 | 57% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.23 1.92–6.77 | 3.83 2.18–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 8.18 4.64–11.71 3.61–12.75 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.30–7.73 2.73–8.30 | 4.56 2.56–6.56 2.02–7.09 | 10.07 5.86–14.28 4.75–15.39 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 49.34 42.55–56.13 40.88–57.80 | 51.37 44.58–58.15 42.91–59.83 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 441 374–508 356–526 | 455 388–521 371–539 | 896 762–1029 726–1065 | 45% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.38 66.35–74.41 65.06–75.70 | 75.36 71.03–79.68 69.72–80.99 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 10.29 7.46–13.13 6.70–13.89 | 11.75 8.81–14.70 8.06–15.44 | 22.04 16.26–27.83 14.76–29.33 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.23 0.14–2.33 0.00–2.62 | 3.13 0.87–5.38 0.28–5.97 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.71–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 1.89 0.76–3.01 0.46–3.31 | 3.64 1.46–5.82 0.90–6.38 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 3.02 1.46–4.57 1.04–5.00 | 5.88 2.88–8.87 2.07–9.68 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.