Championship·Regular Season - 21·
Championship·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
26%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.432.55safe0.15–2.090.58–2.290.73–4.37safer0.00–2.340.35–2.510.25–4.85
Shots on target
31%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.614.538.14safe1.75–5.472.79–6.274.54–11.75safer1.26–5.962.32–6.743.58–12.70
Total shots
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8813.6325.51safe7.95–15.8010.07–17.2018.03–33.00safer6.86–16.899.11–18.1615.97–35.05
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.068.5416.60safe5.12–11.005.86–11.2210.98–22.22safer4.29–11.835.12–11.969.41–23.79
Blocked shots
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.776.84safe1.19–4.952.12–5.423.31–10.38safer0.65–5.501.63–5.922.27–11.41
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.735.099.82safe2.51–6.943.09–7.095.61–14.04safer1.94–7.522.56–7.634.50–15.14
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.5354.42safe38.74–52.3247.64–61.21safer37.07–53.9945.97–62.88
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction419484903safe351–486418–550769–1036safer333–504400–568733–1072
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction64.4771.37safe60.44–68.5067.05–75.70safer59.15–69.8065.74–77.01
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0010.6721.67safe8.16–13.847.73–13.6215.89–27.45safer7.41–14.596.98–14.3614.38–28.96
Offsides
55%
18%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.792.024.80safe1.63–3.950.92–3.112.55–7.06safer1.33–4.250.63–3.401.96–7.65
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.913.92safe0.95–3.050.79–3.041.74–6.09safer0.69–3.320.49–3.331.18–6.65
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
48%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.012.595.60safe1.58–4.451.03–4.142.60–8.59safer1.19–4.840.60–4.571.79–9.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.51 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 29% 26% 44% |
| Shots on target | 3.61 1.75–5.47 1.26–5.96 | 4.53 2.79–6.27 2.32–6.74 | 8.14 4.54–11.75 3.58–12.70 | 31% 14% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.88 7.95–15.80 6.86–16.89 | 13.63 10.07–17.20 9.11–18.16 | 25.51 18.03–33.00 15.97–35.05 | 33% 60% |
| Shots in box | 8.06 5.12–11.00 4.29–11.83 | 8.54 5.86–11.22 5.12–11.96 | 16.60 10.98–22.22 9.41–23.79 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.19–4.95 0.65–5.50 | 3.77 2.12–5.42 1.63–5.92 | 6.84 3.31–10.38 2.27–11.41 | 32% 15% 53% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.52 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.56–7.63 | 9.82 5.61–14.04 4.50–15.14 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 45.53 38.74–52.32 37.07–53.99 | 54.42 47.64–61.21 45.97–62.88 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 419 351–486 333–504 | 484 418–550 400–568 | 903 769–1036 733–1072 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.47 60.44–68.50 59.15–69.80 | 71.37 67.05–75.70 65.74–77.01 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 11.00 8.16–13.84 7.41–14.59 | 10.67 7.73–13.62 6.98–14.36 | 21.67 15.89–27.45 14.38–28.96 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.79 1.63–3.95 1.33–4.25 | 2.02 0.92–3.11 0.63–3.40 | 4.80 2.55–7.06 1.96–7.65 | 55% 18% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.69–3.32 | 1.91 0.79–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.92 1.74–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.01 1.58–4.45 1.19–4.84 | 2.59 1.03–4.14 0.60–4.57 | 5.60 2.60–8.59 1.79–9.40 | 48% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.