Championship·Regular Season - 21·
Championship·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
27%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.112.49safe0.41–2.350.25–1.960.67–4.31safer0.16–2.600.03–2.190.19–4.79
Shots on target
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.323.627.94safe2.45–6.181.88–5.374.34–11.55safer1.97–6.671.42–5.833.38–12.50
Total shots
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3211.4124.73safe9.39–17.247.85–14.9717.24–32.21safer8.30–18.336.89–15.9315.19–34.26
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.707.6216.32safe5.76–11.644.94–10.3010.69–21.94safer4.93–12.474.20–11.049.13–23.51
Blocked shots
48%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.653.246.88safe1.76–5.531.58–4.893.35–10.42safer1.22–6.071.09–5.382.31–11.45
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.7510.00safe3.04–7.472.75–6.755.79–14.22safer2.47–8.052.21–7.284.68–15.32
Possession %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction47.2953.28safe40.50–54.0846.49–60.06safer38.83–55.7544.82–61.73
Passes
37%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction420459879safe353–488393–525746–1013safer335–506375–543710–1049
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction69.3873.97safe65.35–73.4069.64–78.29safer64.05–74.7068.33–79.60
Fouls
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8410.3424.18safe11.00–16.687.39–13.2818.40–29.96safer10.25–17.436.65–14.0316.89–31.47
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.583.63safe0.88–3.200.49–2.681.37–5.88safer0.58–3.500.20–2.960.78–6.47
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.163.99safe0.79–2.891.03–3.291.82–6.17safer0.52–3.150.74–3.581.26–6.73
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
38%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.652.825.47safe1.21–4.081.26–4.382.47–8.46safer0.82–4.470.84–4.801.66–9.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.03–2.19 | 2.49 0.67–4.31 0.19–4.79 | 43% 27% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.45–6.18 1.97–6.67 | 3.62 1.88–5.37 1.42–5.83 | 7.94 4.34–11.55 3.38–12.50 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.32 9.39–17.24 8.30–18.33 | 11.41 7.85–14.97 6.89–15.93 | 24.73 17.24–32.21 15.19–34.26 | 61% 31% |
| Shots in box | 8.70 5.76–11.64 4.93–12.47 | 7.62 4.94–10.30 4.20–11.04 | 16.32 10.69–21.94 9.13–23.51 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.76–5.53 1.22–6.07 | 3.24 1.58–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 6.88 3.35–10.42 2.31–11.45 | 48% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.04–7.47 2.47–8.05 | 4.75 2.75–6.75 2.21–7.28 | 10.00 5.79–14.22 4.68–15.32 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 47.29 40.50–54.08 38.83–55.75 | 53.28 46.49–60.06 44.82–61.73 | — | 34% 62% |
| Passes | 420 353–488 335–506 | 459 393–525 375–543 | 879 746–1013 710–1049 | 37% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.38 65.35–73.40 64.05–74.70 | 73.97 69.64–78.29 68.33–79.60 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 13.84 11.00–16.68 10.25–17.43 | 10.34 7.39–13.28 6.65–14.03 | 24.18 18.40–29.96 16.89–31.47 | 73% 21% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.58 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.96 | 3.63 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.15 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.99 1.82–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 2.82 1.26–4.38 0.84–4.80 | 5.47 2.47–8.46 1.66–9.27 | 38% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+