Championship·Regular Season - 21·
Championship·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.292.97safe0.71–2.640.44–2.151.15–4.79safer0.46–2.890.21–2.380.67–5.27
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.714.238.94safe2.84–6.572.49–5.975.33–12.54safer2.36–7.062.02–6.444.38–13.50
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3512.7427.09safe10.43–18.289.17–16.3019.60–34.58safer9.34–19.378.22–17.2617.55–36.63
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction9.618.6018.22safe6.67–12.565.92–11.2812.59–23.84safer5.84–13.395.19–12.0211.03–25.41
Blocked shots
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.093.877.96safe2.21–5.972.22–5.524.43–11.50safer1.67–6.521.72–6.013.39–12.53
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.4910.05safe3.35–7.782.49–6.495.84–14.27safer2.78–8.351.95–7.024.73–15.37
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.4344.87safe48.64–62.2238.08–51.65safer46.97–63.8936.41–53.32
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction508385893safe441–575318–451759–1026safer422–593301–469723–1062
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction70.4570.69safe66.42–74.4866.37–75.02safer65.12–75.7765.06–76.33
Fouls
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0910.0622.15safe9.25–14.937.12–13.0116.37–27.93safer8.49–15.686.37–13.7514.86–29.44
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.403.08safe0.52–2.840.30–2.490.83–5.33safer0.22–3.140.02–2.780.24–5.92
Yellow cards
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.553.29safe0.69–2.790.42–2.681.12–5.47safer0.43–3.060.13–2.970.56–6.03
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.060.10safe0.00–0.200.00–0.250.00–0.45safer0.00–0.350.00–0.380.00–0.73
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.952.995.95safe1.52–4.391.44–4.552.95–8.94safer1.13–4.781.01–4.972.14–9.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.71–2.64 0.46–2.89 | 1.29 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.71 2.84–6.57 2.36–7.06 | 4.23 2.49–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 8.94 5.33–12.54 4.38–13.50 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.35 10.43–18.28 9.34–19.37 | 12.74 9.17–16.30 8.22–17.26 | 27.09 19.60–34.58 17.55–36.63 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 9.61 6.67–12.56 5.84–13.39 | 8.60 5.92–11.28 5.19–12.02 | 18.22 12.59–23.84 11.03–25.41 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.09 2.21–5.97 1.67–6.52 | 3.87 2.22–5.52 1.72–6.01 | 7.96 4.43–11.50 3.39–12.53 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.78 2.78–8.35 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.95–7.02 | 10.05 5.84–14.27 4.73–15.37 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 55.43 48.64–62.22 46.97–63.89 | 44.87 38.08–51.65 36.41–53.32 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 508 441–575 422–593 | 385 318–451 301–469 | 893 759–1026 723–1062 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.45 66.42–74.48 65.12–75.77 | 70.69 66.37–75.02 65.06–76.33 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 12.09 9.25–14.93 8.49–15.68 | 10.06 7.12–13.01 6.37–13.75 | 22.15 16.37–27.93 14.86–29.44 | 63% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.40 0.30–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.08 0.83–5.33 0.24–5.92 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 1.55 0.42–2.68 0.13–2.97 | 3.29 1.12–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.45 0.00–0.73 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 2.99 1.44–4.55 1.01–4.97 | 5.95 2.95–8.94 2.14–9.75 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+