Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
25%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.640.972.61safe0.67–2.610.11–1.820.79–4.43safer0.42–2.860.00–2.050.31–4.91
Shots on target
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.743.147.87safe2.88–6.601.39–4.884.27–11.48safer2.39–7.090.93–5.353.31–12.44
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.549.7725.30safe11.61–19.466.20–13.3317.82–32.79safer10.52–20.555.24–14.2915.77–34.84
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction9.876.4216.30safe6.93–12.823.74–9.1010.67–21.92safer6.10–13.653.00–9.849.11–23.49
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.782.927.70safe2.90–6.661.27–4.574.16–11.24safer2.36–7.210.77–5.063.13–12.27
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.533.9810.51safe4.32–8.741.98–5.986.30–14.72safer3.74–9.321.45–6.515.19–15.83
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.6040.12safe52.81–66.3933.34–46.91safer51.14–68.0631.67–48.58
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction476294770safe409–543228–361637–904safer391–562210–378601–940
Pass accuracy %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction68.4265.48safe64.39–72.4561.15–69.80safer63.10–73.7459.84–71.11
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1614.0026.16safe9.32–15.0011.05–16.9420.38–31.94safer8.56–15.7510.31–17.6918.87–33.44
Offsides
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.464.10safe0.48–2.801.37–3.551.85–6.36safer0.18–3.101.08–3.841.26–6.94
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.374.10safe0.68–2.781.24–3.501.92–6.28safer0.41–3.040.95–3.791.36–6.83
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
24%
17%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.993.045.04safe0.56–3.431.49–4.602.04–8.03safer0.17–3.821.06–5.021.23–8.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 53% 25% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.74 2.88–6.60 2.39–7.09 | 3.14 1.39–4.88 0.93–5.35 | 7.87 4.27–11.48 3.31–12.44 | 65% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.54 11.61–19.46 10.52–20.55 | 9.77 6.20–13.33 5.24–14.29 | 25.30 17.82–32.79 15.77–34.84 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.87 6.93–12.82 6.10–13.65 | 6.42 3.74–9.10 3.00–9.84 | 16.30 10.67–21.92 9.11–23.49 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.78 2.90–6.66 2.36–7.21 | 2.92 1.27–4.57 0.77–5.06 | 7.70 4.16–11.24 3.13–12.27 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.53 4.32–8.74 3.74–9.32 | 3.98 1.98–5.98 1.45–6.51 | 10.51 6.30–14.72 5.19–15.83 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 59.60 52.81–66.39 51.14–68.06 | 40.12 33.34–46.91 31.67–48.58 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 476 409–543 391–562 | 294 228–361 210–378 | 770 637–904 601–940 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.42 64.39–72.45 63.10–73.74 | 65.48 61.15–69.80 59.84–71.11 | — | 62% 33% |
| Fouls | 12.16 9.32–15.00 8.56–15.75 | 14.00 11.05–16.94 10.31–17.69 | 26.16 20.38–31.94 18.87–33.44 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 2.46 1.37–3.55 1.08–3.84 | 4.10 1.85–6.36 1.26–6.94 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.41–3.04 | 2.37 1.24–3.50 0.95–3.79 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.36–6.83 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.82 | 3.04 1.49–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 5.04 2.04–8.03 1.23–8.84 | 24% 17% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.