Championship·Regular Season - 22·
Championship·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.212.85safe0.67–2.610.35–2.061.02–4.67safer0.42–2.860.12–2.290.54–5.15
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.274.039.30safe3.40–7.132.29–5.775.69–12.90safer2.92–7.621.82–6.244.74–13.86
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9311.3326.26safe11.01–18.867.77–14.8918.77–33.75safer9.91–19.956.81–15.8516.72–35.80
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.827.0516.88safe6.88–12.774.37–9.7411.26–22.50safer6.05–13.603.64–10.479.69–24.07
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.783.607.38safe1.89–5.661.95–5.263.84–10.91safer1.35–6.201.46–5.752.81–11.95
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.794.7710.55safe3.57–8.002.77–6.776.34–14.77safer3.00–8.572.24–7.305.23–15.87
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.6153.77safe39.82–53.4046.98–60.55safer38.15–55.0745.31–62.22
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction437497934safe370–505430–563800–1067safer352–523413–580764–1103
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction65.3273.68safe61.29–69.3569.35–78.00safer60.00–70.6468.04–79.31
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6612.8424.50safe8.82–14.499.90–15.7818.72–30.28safer8.06–15.259.15–16.5317.21–31.78
Offsides
62%
17%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.871.674.54safe1.71–4.030.58–2.772.29–6.79safer1.41–4.330.29–3.051.70–7.38
Yellow cards
27%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.343.97safe0.58–2.681.21–3.471.79–6.15safer0.32–2.950.92–3.761.23–6.71
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.385.99safe1.17–4.041.83–4.943.00–8.98safer0.78–4.431.40–5.362.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.85 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.27 3.40–7.13 2.92–7.62 | 4.03 2.29–5.77 1.82–6.24 | 9.30 5.69–12.90 4.74–13.86 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.93 11.01–18.86 9.91–19.95 | 11.33 7.77–14.89 6.81–15.85 | 26.26 18.77–33.75 16.72–35.80 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.82 6.88–12.77 6.05–13.60 | 7.05 4.37–9.74 3.64–10.47 | 16.88 11.26–22.50 9.69–24.07 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.89–5.66 1.35–6.20 | 3.60 1.95–5.26 1.46–5.75 | 7.38 3.84–10.91 2.81–11.95 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.79 3.57–8.00 3.00–8.57 | 4.77 2.77–6.77 2.24–7.30 | 10.55 6.34–14.77 5.23–15.87 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 46.61 39.82–53.40 38.15–55.07 | 53.77 46.98–60.55 45.31–62.22 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 437 370–505 352–523 | 497 430–563 413–580 | 934 800–1067 764–1103 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.32 61.29–69.35 60.00–70.64 | 73.68 69.35–78.00 68.04–79.31 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.66 8.82–14.49 8.06–15.25 | 12.84 9.90–15.78 9.15–16.53 | 24.50 18.72–30.28 17.21–31.78 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.87 1.71–4.03 1.41–4.33 | 1.67 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.05 | 4.54 2.29–6.79 1.70–7.38 | 62% 17% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 3.97 1.79–6.15 1.23–6.71 | 27% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.38 1.83–4.94 1.40–5.36 | 5.99 3.00–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.