Championship·Regular Season - 22·
Championship·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.402.59safe0.22–2.160.54–2.250.76–4.41safer0.00–2.410.31–2.480.28–4.89
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.174.268.43safe2.31–6.032.52–6.004.83–12.04safer1.82–6.522.05–6.473.87–12.99
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4911.9924.48safe8.57–16.428.43–15.5617.00–31.97safer7.48–17.517.47–16.5114.95–34.02
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.288.5016.78safe5.34–11.225.82–11.1811.16–22.40safer4.51–12.055.08–11.929.59–23.97
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.763.527.28safe1.88–5.641.87–5.183.75–10.82safer1.33–6.181.38–5.672.71–11.85
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.054.609.65safe2.84–7.262.60–6.605.43–13.86safer2.26–7.842.06–7.134.33–14.97
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction50.7750.98safe43.98–57.5644.20–57.77safer42.31–59.2342.53–59.44
Passes
57%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction459438897safe392–526372–505763–1031safer374–544354–522728–1067
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction65.6671.15safe61.63–69.6966.83–75.47safer60.33–70.9865.52–76.78
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3510.9921.34safe7.51–13.188.05–13.9415.56–27.12safer6.75–13.947.30–14.6914.05–28.63
Offsides
21%
17%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.874.56safe0.53–2.851.78–3.962.31–6.81safer0.23–3.151.49–4.251.72–7.40
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.963.82safe0.81–2.910.83–3.081.64–5.99safer0.54–3.180.54–3.381.08–6.55
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.070.18safe0.00–0.270.00–0.260.00–0.53safer0.00–0.420.00–0.390.00–0.81
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.015.86safe1.41–4.281.45–4.572.87–8.85safer1.02–4.671.03–4.992.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 1.40 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 2.59 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.89 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.03 1.82–6.52 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 8.43 4.83–12.04 3.87–12.99 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 12.49 8.57–16.42 7.48–17.51 | 11.99 8.43–15.56 7.47–16.51 | 24.48 17.00–31.97 14.95–34.02 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.28 5.34–11.22 4.51–12.05 | 8.50 5.82–11.18 5.08–11.92 | 16.78 11.16–22.40 9.59–23.97 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.88–5.64 1.33–6.18 | 3.52 1.87–5.18 1.38–5.67 | 7.28 3.75–10.82 2.71–11.85 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.05 2.84–7.26 2.26–7.84 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.06–7.13 | 9.65 5.43–13.86 4.33–14.97 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 50.77 43.98–57.56 42.31–59.23 | 50.98 44.20–57.77 42.53–59.44 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 459 392–526 374–544 | 438 372–505 354–522 | 897 763–1031 728–1067 | 57% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.66 61.63–69.69 60.33–70.98 | 71.15 66.83–75.47 65.52–76.78 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 10.35 7.51–13.18 6.75–13.94 | 10.99 8.05–13.94 7.30–14.69 | 21.34 15.56–27.12 14.05–28.63 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 2.87 1.78–3.96 1.49–4.25 | 4.56 2.31–6.81 1.72–7.40 | 21% 17% 62% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.18 | 1.96 0.83–3.08 0.54–3.38 | 3.82 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.41–4.28 1.02–4.67 | 3.01 1.45–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 5.86 2.87–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.