Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.002.55safe0.58–2.520.15–1.860.73–4.38safer0.33–2.770.00–2.080.25–4.86
Shots on target
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.553.568.10safe2.68–6.411.82–5.304.50–11.71safer2.19–6.901.35–5.773.54–12.67
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0910.9425.04safe10.17–18.027.38–14.5017.55–32.52safer9.08–19.116.42–15.4615.50–34.57
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.656.7816.43safe6.70–12.594.10–9.4610.80–22.05safer5.87–13.423.36–10.209.24–23.62
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.267.24safe2.10–5.861.60–4.913.70–10.77safer1.56–6.411.11–5.402.67–11.81
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.114.1210.22safe3.89–8.322.12–6.126.01–14.44safer3.32–8.891.59–6.654.90–15.54
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction54.6943.47safe47.90–61.4936.68–50.25safer46.23–63.1535.01–51.92
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction452348801safe385–519282–415667–934safer367–538264–432631–970
Pass accuracy %
49%
45%
homeawayprediction68.3167.93safe64.28–72.3463.60–72.25safer62.99–73.6362.29–73.56
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7411.3123.05safe8.90–14.588.37–14.2517.27–28.83safer8.15–15.347.62–15.0015.77–30.34
Offsides
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.823.31safe0.34–2.660.72–2.911.06–5.57safer0.03–2.960.43–3.200.47–6.15
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.923.59safe0.62–2.720.79–3.051.41–5.77safer0.36–2.990.50–3.340.85–6.32
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
35%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.472.865.33safe1.03–3.901.31–4.422.34–8.32safer0.64–4.290.88–4.841.53–9.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.00 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.08 | 2.55 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.86 | 50% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.55 2.68–6.41 2.19–6.90 | 3.56 1.82–5.30 1.35–5.77 | 8.10 4.50–11.71 3.54–12.67 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.09 10.17–18.02 9.08–19.11 | 10.94 7.38–14.50 6.42–15.46 | 25.04 17.55–32.52 15.50–34.57 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.65 6.70–12.59 5.87–13.42 | 6.78 4.10–9.46 3.36–10.20 | 16.43 10.80–22.05 9.24–23.62 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.10–5.86 1.56–6.41 | 3.26 1.60–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 7.24 3.70–10.77 2.67–11.81 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 6.11 3.89–8.32 3.32–8.89 | 4.12 2.12–6.12 1.59–6.65 | 10.22 6.01–14.44 4.90–15.54 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 54.69 47.90–61.49 46.23–63.15 | 43.47 36.68–50.25 35.01–51.92 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 452 385–519 367–538 | 348 282–415 264–432 | 801 667–934 631–970 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.31 64.28–72.34 62.99–73.63 | 67.93 63.60–72.25 62.29–73.56 | — | 49% 45% |
| Fouls | 11.74 8.90–14.58 8.15–15.34 | 11.31 8.37–14.25 7.62–15.00 | 23.05 17.27–28.83 15.77–30.34 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.03–2.96 | 1.82 0.72–2.91 0.43–3.20 | 3.31 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.15 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.85–6.32 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.03–3.90 0.64–4.29 | 2.86 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 5.33 2.34–8.32 1.53–9.13 | 35% 18% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.