Championship·Regular Season - 22·
Championship·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.000.932.93safe1.03–2.970.07–1.781.10–4.75safer0.78–3.220.00–2.010.62–5.23
Shots on target
78%
homeawaytotalprediction6.053.199.24safe4.19–7.921.44–4.935.63–12.85safer3.70–8.410.98–5.394.68–13.80
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0310.0427.06safe13.10–20.956.47–13.6019.57–34.55safer12.01–22.045.51–14.5617.52–36.60
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.826.8218.64safe8.88–14.764.14–9.5013.02–24.26safer8.05–15.593.40–10.2411.45–25.83
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.132.747.87safe3.25–7.011.09–4.394.34–11.41safer2.71–7.560.59–4.883.30–12.44
Corners
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.943.8210.76safe4.73–9.151.82–5.826.55–14.97safer4.15–9.731.29–6.355.44–16.08
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.9339.61safe54.14–67.7232.82–46.39safer52.47–69.3931.15–48.06
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction559333892safe492–626267–400759–1026safer474–644249–417723–1062
Pass accuracy %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction77.1170.31safe73.08–81.1465.99–74.64safer71.79–82.4364.68–75.95
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5011.9322.43safe7.66–13.348.99–14.8716.65–28.21safer6.90–14.098.24–15.6215.14–29.71
Offsides
52%
19%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.471.834.30safe1.31–3.630.74–2.922.04–6.55safer1.01–3.930.45–3.211.46–7.14
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.913.33safe0.37–2.470.78–3.041.15–5.51safer0.11–2.740.49–3.330.59–6.07
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.816.02safe0.78–3.652.25–5.363.03–9.01safer0.39–4.041.82–5.792.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.97 0.78–3.22 | 0.93 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.93 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.05 4.19–7.92 3.70–8.41 | 3.19 1.44–4.93 0.98–5.39 | 9.24 5.63–12.85 4.68–13.80 | 78% |
| Total shots | 17.03 13.10–20.95 12.01–22.04 | 10.04 6.47–13.60 5.51–14.56 | 27.06 19.57–34.55 17.52–36.60 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.82 8.88–14.76 8.05–15.59 | 6.82 4.14–9.50 3.40–10.24 | 18.64 13.02–24.26 11.45–25.83 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 5.13 3.25–7.01 2.71–7.56 | 2.74 1.09–4.39 0.59–4.88 | 7.87 4.34–11.41 3.30–12.44 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 6.94 4.73–9.15 4.15–9.73 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.29–6.35 | 10.76 6.55–14.97 5.44–16.08 | 79% 13% |
| Possession % | 60.93 54.14–67.72 52.47–69.39 | 39.61 32.82–46.39 31.15–48.06 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 559 492–626 474–644 | 333 267–400 249–417 | 892 759–1026 723–1062 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.11 73.08–81.14 71.79–82.43 | 70.31 65.99–74.64 64.68–75.95 | — | 79% 17% |
| Fouls | 10.50 7.66–13.34 6.90–14.09 | 11.93 8.99–14.87 8.24–15.62 | 22.43 16.65–28.21 15.14–29.71 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.47 1.31–3.63 1.01–3.93 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 4.30 2.04–6.55 1.46–7.14 | 52% 19% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.07 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.78–3.65 0.39–4.04 | 3.81 2.25–5.36 1.82–5.79 | 6.02 3.03–9.01 2.22–9.83 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+