Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
28%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.320.922.24safe0.35–2.290.06–1.770.41–4.06safer0.10–2.540.00–2.000.00–4.54
Shots on target
55%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.003.167.17safe2.14–5.871.42–4.903.56–10.77safer1.65–6.360.95–5.372.60–11.73
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction14.319.5723.88safe10.38–18.236.01–13.1316.39–31.37safer9.29–19.335.05–14.0914.34–33.42
Shots in box
73%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction9.496.5216.01safe6.54–12.433.84–9.2110.39–21.63safer5.71–13.263.11–9.948.82–23.20
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.253.207.45safe2.37–6.131.55–4.853.92–10.99safer1.83–6.681.05–5.342.88–12.02
Corners
58%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.704.5810.27safe3.48–7.912.58–6.586.06–14.49safer2.91–8.482.05–7.114.95–15.60
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.3745.39safe47.58–61.1738.61–52.18safer45.92–62.8336.94–53.85
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction426334760safe359–493268–401627–894safer341–512250–418591–930
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction62.4764.04safe58.44–66.5059.72–68.37safer57.14–67.7958.41–69.68
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9213.3625.28safe9.08–14.7610.41–16.3019.50–31.06safer8.33–15.519.67–17.0517.99–32.57
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.753.39safe0.48–2.800.66–2.841.14–5.65safer0.18–3.110.37–3.130.55–6.24
Yellow cards
22%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.272.143.41safe0.22–2.321.01–3.271.23–5.59safer0.00–2.580.72–3.560.67–6.15
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
34%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.322.725.05safe0.89–3.761.17–4.282.05–8.04safer0.50–4.150.74–4.701.24–8.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 0.92 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.24 0.41–4.06 0.00–4.54 | 46% 28% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.00 2.14–5.87 1.65–6.36 | 3.16 1.42–4.90 0.95–5.37 | 7.17 3.56–10.77 2.60–11.73 | 55% 15% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.31 10.38–18.23 9.29–19.33 | 9.57 6.01–13.13 5.05–14.09 | 23.88 16.39–31.37 14.34–33.42 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.49 6.54–12.43 5.71–13.26 | 6.52 3.84–9.21 3.11–9.94 | 16.01 10.39–21.63 8.82–23.20 | 73% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.25 2.37–6.13 1.83–6.68 | 3.20 1.55–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 7.45 3.92–10.99 2.88–12.02 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.70 3.48–7.91 2.91–8.48 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.05–7.11 | 10.27 6.06–14.49 4.95–15.60 | 58% 31% |
| Possession % | 54.37 47.58–61.17 45.92–62.83 | 45.39 38.61–52.18 36.94–53.85 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 426 359–493 341–512 | 334 268–401 250–418 | 760 627–894 591–930 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.47 58.44–66.50 57.14–67.79 | 64.04 59.72–68.37 58.41–69.68 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 11.92 9.08–14.76 8.33–15.51 | 13.36 10.41–16.30 9.67–17.05 | 25.28 19.50–31.06 17.99–32.57 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.11 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.39 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.24 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.27 0.22–2.32 0.00–2.58 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.67–6.15 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.15 | 2.72 1.17–4.28 0.74–4.70 | 5.05 2.05–8.04 1.24–8.85 | 34% 18% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.