Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.163.00safe0.87–2.800.31–2.021.17–4.82safer0.62–3.060.08–2.240.70–5.30
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.193.989.18safe3.33–7.062.24–5.725.57–12.78safer2.84–7.551.77–6.194.62–13.74
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5210.8824.40safe9.60–17.457.32–14.4416.92–31.89safer8.51–18.546.36–15.4014.87–33.94
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.937.3517.28safe6.99–12.874.67–10.0311.65–22.90safer6.16–13.703.93–10.7710.09–24.47
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.712.786.49safe1.83–5.601.12–4.432.95–10.02safer1.29–6.140.63–4.921.92–11.06
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.984.2610.24safe3.77–8.202.26–6.266.03–14.46safer3.20–8.771.73–6.794.92–15.56
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.7645.47safe47.97–61.5538.69–52.26safer46.30–63.2237.02–53.93
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction454367822safe387–522301–434688–955safer369–540283–451652–991
Pass accuracy %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction71.7368.31safe67.70–75.7663.98–72.63safer66.41–77.0562.67–73.94
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1012.6824.78safe9.26–14.939.74–15.6319.00–30.56safer8.50–15.698.99–16.3717.49–32.07
Offsides
32%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.125.62safe1.34–3.662.02–4.213.37–7.87safer1.04–3.961.74–4.502.78–8.46
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.374.29safe0.87–2.971.24–3.492.11–6.46safer0.61–3.240.95–3.791.55–7.02
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.375.93safe1.12–4.001.82–4.932.94–8.92safer0.74–4.381.39–5.352.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 0.87–2.80 0.62–3.06 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.24 | 3.00 1.17–4.82 0.70–5.30 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.19 3.33–7.06 2.84–7.55 | 3.98 2.24–5.72 1.77–6.19 | 9.18 5.57–12.78 4.62–13.74 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 13.52 9.60–17.45 8.51–18.54 | 10.88 7.32–14.44 6.36–15.40 | 24.40 16.92–31.89 14.87–33.94 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.93 6.99–12.87 6.16–13.70 | 7.35 4.67–10.03 3.93–10.77 | 17.28 11.65–22.90 10.09–24.47 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.83–5.60 1.29–6.14 | 2.78 1.12–4.43 0.63–4.92 | 6.49 2.95–10.02 1.92–11.06 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 5.98 3.77–8.20 3.20–8.77 | 4.26 2.26–6.26 1.73–6.79 | 10.24 6.03–14.46 4.92–15.56 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 54.76 47.97–61.55 46.30–63.22 | 45.47 38.69–52.26 37.02–53.93 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 454 387–522 369–540 | 367 301–434 283–451 | 822 688–955 652–991 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.73 67.70–75.76 66.41–77.05 | 68.31 63.98–72.63 62.67–73.94 | — | 65% 31% |
| Fouls | 12.10 9.26–14.93 8.50–15.69 | 12.68 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.37 | 24.78 19.00–30.56 17.49–32.07 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.50 1.34–3.66 1.04–3.96 | 3.12 2.02–4.21 1.74–4.50 | 5.62 3.37–7.87 2.78–8.46 | 32% 17% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 2.37 1.24–3.49 0.95–3.79 | 4.29 2.11–6.46 1.55–7.02 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–4.00 0.74–4.38 | 3.37 1.82–4.93 1.39–5.35 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.13–9.74 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+