Championship·Regular Season - 22·
Championship·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.910.972.89safe0.94–2.880.12–1.831.06–4.71safer0.69–3.130.00–2.060.58–5.19
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.013.369.36safe4.15–7.871.61–5.105.76–12.97safer3.66–8.361.15–5.574.80–13.93
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.789.4427.22safe13.85–21.705.88–13.0019.73–34.70safer12.76–22.794.92–13.9617.68–36.76
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.176.6717.84safe8.23–14.113.98–9.3512.21–23.46safer7.40–14.943.25–10.0810.65–25.03
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.933.218.13safe3.04–6.811.55–4.864.60–11.67safer2.50–7.351.06–5.353.56–12.71
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.353.459.80safe4.14–8.571.45–5.455.59–14.01safer3.57–9.140.91–5.984.48–15.12
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.4641.28safe51.67–65.2534.49–48.06safer50.00–66.9232.82–49.73
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction583382965safe515–650316–449831–1099safer497–668298–466795–1134
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction78.9674.37safe74.93–82.9970.04–78.69safer73.64–84.2968.73–80.00
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7511.4923.25safe8.92–14.598.55–14.4417.47–29.03safer8.16–15.357.80–15.1915.96–30.53
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.503.33safe0.66–2.980.41–2.601.07–5.58safer0.36–3.290.12–2.880.48–6.17
Yellow cards
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.323.98safe0.61–2.711.19–3.451.80–6.16safer0.34–2.970.90–3.741.24–6.72
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.926.48safe1.13–4.002.36–5.483.49–9.48safer0.74–4.391.94–5.902.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.89 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.01 4.15–7.87 3.66–8.36 | 3.36 1.61–5.10 1.15–5.57 | 9.36 5.76–12.97 4.80–13.93 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.78 13.85–21.70 12.76–22.79 | 9.44 5.88–13.00 4.92–13.96 | 27.22 19.73–34.70 17.68–36.76 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.17 8.23–14.11 7.40–14.94 | 6.67 3.98–9.35 3.25–10.08 | 17.84 12.21–23.46 10.65–25.03 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.93 3.04–6.81 2.50–7.35 | 3.21 1.55–4.86 1.06–5.35 | 8.13 4.60–11.67 3.56–12.71 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.35 4.14–8.57 3.57–9.14 | 3.45 1.45–5.45 0.91–5.98 | 9.80 5.59–14.01 4.48–15.12 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 58.46 51.67–65.25 50.00–66.92 | 41.28 34.49–48.06 32.82–49.73 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 583 515–650 497–668 | 382 316–449 298–466 | 965 831–1099 795–1134 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.96 74.93–82.99 73.64–84.29 | 74.37 70.04–78.69 68.73–80.00 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 11.75 8.92–14.59 8.16–15.35 | 11.49 8.55–14.44 7.80–15.19 | 23.25 17.47–29.03 15.96–30.53 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.29 | 1.50 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.88 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 3.98 1.80–6.16 1.24–6.72 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.92 2.36–5.48 1.94–5.90 | 6.48 3.49–9.48 2.68–10.29 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.