Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.072.64safe0.60–2.530.21–1.920.81–4.46safer0.35–2.790.00–2.150.33–4.94
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.933.498.41safe3.07–6.791.74–5.234.81–12.02safer2.58–7.281.28–5.693.85–12.97
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0010.3225.32safe11.08–18.936.75–13.8817.83–32.81safer9.99–20.025.80–14.8415.78–34.86
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.177.0916.26safe6.23–12.124.41–9.7710.64–21.89safer5.40–12.943.67–10.519.07–23.45
Blocked shots
60%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.283.107.38safe2.39–6.161.45–4.753.84–10.91safer1.85–6.700.95–5.242.81–11.95
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.833.769.60safe3.62–8.051.76–5.765.38–13.81safer3.04–8.621.23–6.304.28–14.92
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.4533.76safe59.65–73.2426.98–40.54safer57.99–74.9125.30–42.22
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction641293935safe574–709227–360801–1068safer556–727209–377765–1104
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction76.3765.99safe72.34–80.4061.67–70.32safer71.05–81.6960.36–71.63
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9512.4122.36safe7.11–12.799.47–15.3616.58–28.15safer6.36–13.548.72–16.1115.08–29.65
Offsides
38%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.474.78safe1.14–3.461.38–3.572.52–7.03safer0.84–3.761.09–3.851.93–7.62
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.123.51safe0.34–2.440.99–3.251.33–5.69safer0.08–2.710.70–3.540.78–6.25
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
25%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.233.275.50safe0.79–3.661.72–4.832.51–8.49safer0.40–4.051.29–5.251.70–9.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.53 0.35–2.79 | 1.07 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.64 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 49% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.93 3.07–6.79 2.58–7.28 | 3.49 1.74–5.23 1.28–5.69 | 8.41 4.81–12.02 3.85–12.97 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.00 11.08–18.93 9.99–20.02 | 10.32 6.75–13.88 5.80–14.84 | 25.32 17.83–32.81 15.78–34.86 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.17 6.23–12.12 5.40–12.94 | 7.09 4.41–9.77 3.67–10.51 | 16.26 10.64–21.89 9.07–23.45 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.39–6.16 1.85–6.70 | 3.10 1.45–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 7.38 3.84–10.91 2.81–11.95 | 60% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.83 3.62–8.05 3.04–8.62 | 3.76 1.76–5.76 1.23–6.30 | 9.60 5.38–13.81 4.28–14.92 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 66.45 59.65–73.24 57.99–74.91 | 33.76 26.98–40.54 25.30–42.22 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 641 574–709 556–727 | 293 227–360 209–377 | 935 801–1068 765–1104 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.37 72.34–80.40 71.05–81.69 | 65.99 61.67–70.32 60.36–71.63 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 9.95 7.11–12.79 6.36–13.54 | 12.41 9.47–15.36 8.72–16.11 | 22.36 16.58–28.15 15.08–29.65 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 2.30 1.14–3.46 0.84–3.76 | 2.47 1.38–3.57 1.09–3.85 | 4.78 2.52–7.03 1.93–7.62 | 38% 19% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.23 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 3.27 1.72–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 5.50 2.51–8.49 1.70–9.31 | 25% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+