Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.272.99safe0.75–2.690.42–2.121.17–4.81safer0.50–2.940.19–2.350.69–5.29
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.464.249.70safe3.60–7.322.50–5.986.10–13.31safer3.11–7.812.03–6.455.14–14.26
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3412.7828.12safe11.41–19.269.22–16.3420.63–35.60safer10.32–20.358.26–17.3018.58–37.66
Shots in box
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.718.0018.71safe7.77–13.655.32–10.6813.08–24.33safer6.94–14.484.58–11.4111.52–25.90
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.427.60safe2.29–6.061.77–5.074.06–11.13safer1.75–6.601.27–5.563.03–12.17
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.964.5910.55safe3.75–8.172.59–6.596.34–14.76safer3.17–8.752.06–7.125.23–15.87
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.4045.51safe48.61–62.1938.72–52.29safer46.94–63.8637.05–53.97
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction463384847safe396–530317–450713–981safer378–549300–468678–1016
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction68.9469.40safe64.91–72.9765.07–73.72safer63.61–74.2663.76–75.03
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5411.5023.04safe8.70–14.388.56–14.4517.26–28.82safer7.95–15.137.81–15.2015.76–30.33
Offsides
64%
15%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.321.995.31safe2.16–4.480.89–3.083.05–7.56safer1.86–4.780.61–3.372.46–8.15
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.843.48safe0.59–2.690.72–2.971.30–5.66safer0.32–2.950.42–3.260.75–6.22
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.736.64safe1.48–4.352.17–5.283.65–9.63safer1.09–4.741.75–5.712.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.75–2.69 0.50–2.94 | 1.27 0.42–2.12 0.19–2.35 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.46 3.60–7.32 3.11–7.81 | 4.24 2.50–5.98 2.03–6.45 | 9.70 6.10–13.31 5.14–14.26 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 15.34 11.41–19.26 10.32–20.35 | 12.78 9.22–16.34 8.26–17.30 | 28.12 20.63–35.60 18.58–37.66 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 10.71 7.77–13.65 6.94–14.48 | 8.00 5.32–10.68 4.58–11.41 | 18.71 13.08–24.33 11.52–25.90 | 70% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.29–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 3.42 1.77–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 7.60 4.06–11.13 3.03–12.17 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 5.96 3.75–8.17 3.17–8.75 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.06–7.12 | 10.55 6.34–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 55.40 48.61–62.19 46.94–63.86 | 45.51 38.72–52.29 37.05–53.97 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 463 396–530 378–549 | 384 317–450 300–468 | 847 713–981 678–1016 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.94 64.91–72.97 63.61–74.26 | 69.40 65.07–73.72 63.76–75.03 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 11.54 8.70–14.38 7.95–15.13 | 11.50 8.56–14.45 7.81–15.20 | 23.04 17.26–28.82 15.76–30.33 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 3.32 2.16–4.48 1.86–4.78 | 1.99 0.89–3.08 0.61–3.37 | 5.31 3.05–7.56 2.46–8.15 | 64% 15% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.95 | 1.84 0.72–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 3.73 2.17–5.28 1.75–5.71 | 6.64 3.65–9.63 2.83–10.44 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+