Championship·Regular Season - 22·
Championship·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
24%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.690.912.60safe0.73–2.660.05–1.760.78–4.43safer0.48–2.910.00–1.990.30–4.91
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.912.977.88safe3.05–6.781.23–4.714.28–11.49safer2.56–7.270.76–5.183.32–12.44
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction14.349.2023.54safe10.41–18.265.64–12.7616.05–31.02safer9.32–19.364.68–13.7214.00–33.08
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction9.396.1515.54safe6.45–12.333.47–8.839.92–21.16safer5.62–13.162.73–9.578.35–22.73
Blocked shots
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.202.436.64safe2.32–6.090.78–4.093.10–10.17safer1.78–6.630.29–4.582.07–11.21
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.303.8510.14safe4.08–8.511.85–5.855.93–14.36safer3.51–9.081.31–6.384.82–15.46
Possession %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction57.1242.21safe50.33–63.9135.42–48.99safer48.66–65.5833.75–50.66
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction513368881safe446–580302–435747–1015safer427–598284–452712–1050
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction74.6069.57safe70.57–78.6365.24–73.89safer69.28–79.9263.93–75.20
Fouls
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7214.4025.12safe7.88–13.5611.45–17.3419.33–30.90safer7.13–14.3110.70–18.0917.83–32.40
Offsides
37%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.124.11safe0.83–3.151.02–3.211.86–6.36safer0.53–3.450.73–3.501.27–6.95
Yellow cards
22%
17%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.794.46safe0.62–2.721.66–3.912.28–6.64safer0.36–2.991.36–4.211.72–7.19
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
26%
17%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.163.075.23safe0.72–3.591.52–4.632.24–8.22safer0.34–3.981.09–5.051.43–9.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.73–2.66 0.48–2.91 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.60 0.78–4.43 0.30–4.91 | 56% 24% 20% |
| Shots on target | 4.91 3.05–6.78 2.56–7.27 | 2.97 1.23–4.71 0.76–5.18 | 7.88 4.28–11.49 3.32–12.44 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 14.34 10.41–18.26 9.32–19.36 | 9.20 5.64–12.76 4.68–13.72 | 23.54 16.05–31.02 14.00–33.08 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 9.39 6.45–12.33 5.62–13.16 | 6.15 3.47–8.83 2.73–9.57 | 15.54 9.92–21.16 8.35–22.73 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.20 2.32–6.09 1.78–6.63 | 2.43 0.78–4.09 0.29–4.58 | 6.64 3.10–10.17 2.07–11.21 | 69% 18% |
| Corners | 6.30 4.08–8.51 3.51–9.08 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.31–6.38 | 10.14 5.93–14.36 4.82–15.46 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 57.12 50.33–63.91 48.66–65.58 | 42.21 35.42–48.99 33.75–50.66 | — | 79% 17% |
| Passes | 513 446–580 427–598 | 368 302–435 284–452 | 881 747–1015 712–1050 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.60 70.57–78.63 69.28–79.92 | 69.57 65.24–73.89 63.93–75.20 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 10.72 7.88–13.56 7.13–14.31 | 14.40 11.45–17.34 10.70–18.09 | 25.12 19.33–30.90 17.83–32.40 | 20% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 2.12 1.02–3.21 0.73–3.50 | 4.11 1.86–6.36 1.27–6.95 | 37% 20% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 2.79 1.66–3.91 1.36–4.21 | 4.46 2.28–6.64 1.72–7.19 | 22% 17% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.16 0.72–3.59 0.34–3.98 | 3.07 1.52–4.63 1.09–5.05 | 5.23 2.24–8.22 1.43–9.04 | 26% 17% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.