Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.162.52safe0.39–2.330.31–2.020.70–4.35safer0.14–2.580.08–2.250.22–4.83
Shots on target
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.663.678.33safe2.80–6.521.93–5.424.73–11.94safer2.31–7.011.47–5.883.77–12.89
Total shots
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3511.5125.86safe10.43–18.287.95–15.0718.38–33.35safer9.34–19.376.99–16.0316.33–35.40
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.977.5617.52safe7.03–12.914.87–10.2411.90–23.15safer6.20–13.744.14–10.9710.33–24.71
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.283.077.35safe2.40–6.171.42–4.723.82–10.89safer1.86–6.710.93–5.222.78–11.93
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.454.479.93safe3.24–7.672.47–6.475.71–14.14safer2.67–8.241.94–7.014.61–15.25
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.1549.03safe44.36–57.9442.24–55.81safer42.69–59.6140.57–57.48
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction498458956safe431–565391–524822–1089safer413–583374–542786–1125
Pass accuracy %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction69.7572.98safe65.72–73.7868.66–77.31safer64.43–75.0867.35–78.62
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8510.3721.22safe8.01–13.697.43–13.3215.44–27.00safer7.26–14.446.68–14.0613.93–28.51
Offsides
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.552.98safe0.27–2.590.46–2.650.73–5.23safer0.00–2.890.17–2.940.14–5.82
Yellow cards
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.693.11safe0.37–2.470.56–2.820.93–5.29safer0.11–2.740.27–3.110.37–5.84
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.075.64safe1.13–4.001.52–4.632.64–8.63safer0.74–4.391.09–5.051.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.52 0.70–4.35 0.22–4.83 | 41% 27% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.66 2.80–6.52 2.31–7.01 | 3.67 1.93–5.42 1.47–5.88 | 8.33 4.73–11.94 3.77–12.89 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.35 10.43–18.28 9.34–19.37 | 11.51 7.95–15.07 6.99–16.03 | 25.86 18.38–33.35 16.33–35.40 | 68% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.97 7.03–12.91 6.20–13.74 | 7.56 4.87–10.24 4.14–10.97 | 17.52 11.90–23.15 10.33–24.71 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.40–6.17 1.86–6.71 | 3.07 1.42–4.72 0.93–5.22 | 7.35 3.82–10.89 2.78–11.93 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.24–7.67 2.67–8.24 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.94–7.01 | 9.93 5.71–14.14 4.61–15.25 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 51.15 44.36–57.94 42.69–59.61 | 49.03 42.24–55.81 40.57–57.48 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 498 431–565 413–583 | 458 391–524 374–542 | 956 822–1089 786–1125 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.75 65.72–73.78 64.43–75.08 | 72.98 68.66–77.31 67.35–78.62 | — | 32% 64% |
| Fouls | 10.85 8.01–13.69 7.26–14.44 | 10.37 7.43–13.32 6.68–14.06 | 21.22 15.44–27.00 13.93–28.51 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.94 | 2.98 0.73–5.23 0.14–5.82 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 3.11 0.93–5.29 0.37–5.84 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.07 1.52–4.63 1.09–5.05 | 5.64 2.64–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.