Championship·Regular Season - 23·
Championship·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.242.51safe0.31–2.240.38–2.090.69–4.33safer0.06–2.490.15–2.320.21–4.81
Shots on target
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.904.428.32safe2.04–5.762.68–6.164.72–11.93safer1.55–6.252.21–6.633.76–12.88
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0513.4225.47safe8.12–15.979.86–16.9817.98–32.96safer7.03–17.068.90–17.9415.93–35.01
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.019.2317.24safe5.07–10.956.55–11.9111.62–22.86safer4.24–11.785.81–12.6410.05–24.43
Blocked shots
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.694.328.01safe1.81–5.572.67–5.974.47–11.55safer1.26–6.122.17–6.473.44–12.58
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.245.0710.31safe3.02–7.453.07–7.076.09–14.52safer2.45–8.022.54–7.614.99–15.63
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.3847.92safe45.59–59.1741.13–54.70safer43.92–60.8439.46–56.37
Passes
64%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction438393831safe371–505327–460698–965safer353–523309–477662–1001
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction70.0370.63safe66.00–74.0666.31–74.96safer64.71–75.3565.00–76.27
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1613.2324.39safe8.32–14.0010.28–16.1718.60–30.17safer7.57–14.759.53–16.9217.10–31.67
Offsides
60%
18%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.551.504.04safe1.39–3.710.40–2.591.79–6.30safer1.09–4.010.11–2.881.20–6.89
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.314.25safe0.89–2.991.19–3.442.08–6.43safer0.63–3.260.89–3.731.52–6.99
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.022.765.78safe1.59–4.461.20–4.322.79–8.78safer1.20–4.850.78–4.741.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.31–2.24 0.06–2.49 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.51 0.69–4.33 0.21–4.81 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 3.90 2.04–5.76 1.55–6.25 | 4.42 2.68–6.16 2.21–6.63 | 8.32 4.72–11.93 3.76–12.88 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.05 8.12–15.97 7.03–17.06 | 13.42 9.86–16.98 8.90–17.94 | 25.47 17.98–32.96 15.93–35.01 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.01 5.07–10.95 4.24–11.78 | 9.23 6.55–11.91 5.81–12.64 | 17.24 11.62–22.86 10.05–24.43 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.57 1.26–6.12 | 4.32 2.67–5.97 2.17–6.47 | 8.01 4.47–11.55 3.44–12.58 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 5.07 3.07–7.07 2.54–7.61 | 10.31 6.09–14.52 4.99–15.63 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 52.38 45.59–59.17 43.92–60.84 | 47.92 41.13–54.70 39.46–56.37 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 438 371–505 353–523 | 393 327–460 309–477 | 831 698–965 662–1001 | 64% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.03 66.00–74.06 64.71–75.35 | 70.63 66.31–74.96 65.00–76.27 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 11.16 8.32–14.00 7.57–14.75 | 13.23 10.28–16.17 9.53–16.92 | 24.39 18.60–30.17 17.10–31.67 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.55 1.39–3.71 1.09–4.01 | 1.50 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.88 | 4.04 1.79–6.30 1.20–6.89 | 60% 18% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 2.31 1.19–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 4.25 2.08–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.59–4.46 1.20–4.85 | 2.76 1.20–4.32 0.78–4.74 | 5.78 2.79–8.78 1.98–9.59 | 46% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.