Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.673.09safe0.45–2.390.81–2.521.27–4.91safer0.20–2.640.58–2.750.79–5.39
Shots on target
40%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.464.709.17safe2.60–6.332.96–6.455.56–12.77safer2.11–6.812.50–6.914.61–13.73
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8312.8025.63safe8.91–16.769.24–16.3618.14–33.12safer7.81–17.858.28–17.3216.09–35.17
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.529.1517.67safe5.57–11.466.47–11.8412.05–23.29safer4.74–12.295.74–12.5710.48–24.86
Blocked shots
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.002.745.74safe1.12–4.881.08–4.392.20–9.27safer0.58–5.430.59–4.881.17–10.31
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.125.0910.22safe2.91–7.343.09–7.096.00–14.43safer2.33–7.912.56–7.634.89–15.54
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction49.0651.53safe42.27–55.8544.75–58.32safer40.60–57.5243.07–59.99
Passes
51%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction438434872safe371–506367–500738–1006safer353–524350–518703–1041
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction65.0869.59safe61.05–69.1165.27–73.91safer59.76–70.4063.96–75.22
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7411.0921.82safe7.90–13.588.14–14.0316.04–27.61safer7.14–14.337.39–14.7814.54–29.11
Offsides
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.533.596.12safe1.37–3.692.50–4.683.87–8.37safer1.07–3.992.21–4.973.28–8.96
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.813.51safe0.65–2.750.68–2.941.33–5.68safer0.38–3.020.39–3.230.77–6.24
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
40%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.146.20safe1.62–4.491.59–4.703.21–9.19safer1.23–4.881.16–5.132.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.67 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.75 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.60–6.33 2.11–6.81 | 4.70 2.96–6.45 2.50–6.91 | 9.17 5.56–12.77 4.61–13.73 | 40% 13% 46% |
| Total shots | 12.83 8.91–16.76 7.81–17.85 | 12.80 9.24–16.36 8.28–17.32 | 25.63 18.14–33.12 16.09–35.17 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.52 5.57–11.46 4.74–12.29 | 9.15 6.47–11.84 5.74–12.57 | 17.67 12.05–23.29 10.48–24.86 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.00 1.12–4.88 0.58–5.43 | 2.74 1.08–4.39 0.59–4.88 | 5.74 2.20–9.27 1.17–10.31 | 46% 17% 37% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.91–7.34 2.33–7.91 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.56–7.63 | 10.22 6.00–14.43 4.89–15.54 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 49.06 42.27–55.85 40.60–57.52 | 51.53 44.75–58.32 43.07–59.99 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 438 371–506 353–524 | 434 367–500 350–518 | 872 738–1006 703–1041 | 51% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.08 61.05–69.11 59.76–70.40 | 69.59 65.27–73.91 63.96–75.22 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 10.74 7.90–13.58 7.14–14.33 | 11.09 8.14–14.03 7.39–14.78 | 21.82 16.04–27.61 14.54–29.11 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.53 1.37–3.69 1.07–3.99 | 3.59 2.50–4.68 2.21–4.97 | 6.12 3.87–8.37 3.28–8.96 | 26% 15% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.02 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.51 1.33–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.62–4.49 1.23–4.88 | 3.14 1.59–4.70 1.16–5.13 | 6.20 3.21–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 40% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.