Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.132.77safe0.67–2.610.27–1.980.95–4.59safer0.42–2.860.04–2.210.47–5.07
Shots on target
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.613.698.30safe2.75–6.471.94–5.434.69–11.90safer2.26–6.961.48–5.893.74–12.86
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2311.5226.75safe11.30–19.157.96–15.0819.26–34.24safer10.21–20.247.00–16.0417.21–36.29
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.227.9917.20safe6.28–12.165.30–10.6711.58–22.83safer5.45–12.994.57–11.4010.01–24.39
Blocked shots
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.733.167.89safe2.85–6.611.51–4.814.36–11.43safer2.31–7.161.01–5.303.32–12.46
Corners
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.244.4310.67safe4.03–8.462.43–6.436.46–14.89safer3.46–9.031.90–6.965.35–16.00
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.7639.31safe53.97–67.5532.52–46.09safer52.30–69.2230.85–47.77
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction508294802safe441–575228–361669–936safer423–593210–378633–972
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction71.2964.95safe67.26–75.3260.63–69.28safer65.97–76.6259.32–70.59
Fouls
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4114.5525.95safe8.57–14.2411.60–17.4920.17–31.74safer7.81–15.0010.85–18.2418.67–33.24
Offsides
20%
16%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.733.024.74safe0.57–2.891.92–4.112.49–7.00safer0.27–3.191.63–4.401.90–7.59
Yellow cards
36%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.114.03safe0.86–2.960.98–3.241.85–6.20safer0.60–3.230.69–3.531.29–6.76
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
29%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.463.235.69safe1.02–3.891.68–4.792.70–8.68safer0.63–4.281.25–5.211.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 49% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.47 2.26–6.96 | 3.69 1.94–5.43 1.48–5.89 | 8.30 4.69–11.90 3.74–12.86 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.23 11.30–19.15 10.21–20.24 | 11.52 7.96–15.08 7.00–16.04 | 26.75 19.26–34.24 17.21–36.29 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.22 6.28–12.16 5.45–12.99 | 7.99 5.30–10.67 4.57–11.40 | 17.20 11.58–22.83 10.01–24.39 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.85–6.61 2.31–7.16 | 3.16 1.51–4.81 1.01–5.30 | 7.89 4.36–11.43 3.32–12.46 | 65% 23% |
| Corners | 6.24 4.03–8.46 3.46–9.03 | 4.43 2.43–6.43 1.90–6.96 | 10.67 6.46–14.89 5.35–16.00 | 66% 24% |
| Possession % | 60.76 53.97–67.55 52.30–69.22 | 39.31 32.52–46.09 30.85–47.77 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 508 441–575 423–593 | 294 228–361 210–378 | 802 669–936 633–972 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.29 67.26–75.32 65.97–76.62 | 64.95 60.63–69.28 59.32–70.59 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.57–14.24 7.81–15.00 | 14.55 11.60–17.49 10.85–18.24 | 25.95 20.17–31.74 18.67–33.24 | 24% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 3.02 1.92–4.11 1.63–4.40 | 4.74 2.49–7.00 1.90–7.59 | 20% 16% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.60–3.23 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 4.03 1.85–6.20 1.29–6.76 | 36% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 3.23 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 5.69 2.70–8.68 1.88–9.49 | 29% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.