Championship·Regular Season - 23·
Championship·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.012.033.03safe0.04–1.971.17–2.881.21–4.85safer0.00–2.230.94–3.110.73–5.33
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.735.218.94safe1.87–5.593.46–6.955.33–12.54safer1.38–6.083.00–7.414.38–13.50
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9514.1726.12safe8.02–15.8710.61–17.7318.63–33.60safer6.93–16.969.65–18.6916.58–35.65
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.2910.0018.29safe5.35–11.237.32–12.6812.66–23.91safer4.52–12.066.58–13.4211.10–25.48
Blocked shots
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.454.187.63safe1.57–5.332.53–5.844.10–11.17safer1.02–5.872.04–6.333.06–12.20
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.485.7510.22safe2.26–6.693.75–7.756.01–14.44safer1.69–7.263.21–8.284.90–15.54
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.3165.51safe27.52–41.1058.72–72.29safer25.85–42.7757.05–73.96
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction296570865safe228–363503–636732–999safer210–381486–654696–1035
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction63.2377.84safe59.20–67.2673.52–82.17safer57.91–68.5572.21–83.48
Fouls
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3110.4522.76safe9.47–15.147.51–13.4016.98–28.54safer8.71–15.906.76–14.1515.47–30.05
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.733.43safe0.54–2.860.63–2.821.17–5.68safer0.24–3.160.34–3.110.59–6.27
Yellow cards
46%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.653.62safe0.92–3.020.52–2.781.44–5.80safer0.66–3.290.23–3.070.89–6.36
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
52%
17%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.172.535.69safe1.73–4.600.97–4.082.70–8.69safer1.34–4.990.55–4.511.89–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.97 0.00–2.23 | 2.03 1.17–2.88 0.94–3.11 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.73 1.87–5.59 1.38–6.08 | 5.21 3.46–6.95 3.00–7.41 | 8.94 5.33–12.54 4.38–13.50 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 11.95 8.02–15.87 6.93–16.96 | 14.17 10.61–17.73 9.65–18.69 | 26.12 18.63–33.60 16.58–35.65 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 8.29 5.35–11.23 4.52–12.06 | 10.00 7.32–12.68 6.58–13.42 | 18.29 12.66–23.91 11.10–25.48 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.45 1.57–5.33 1.02–5.87 | 4.18 2.53–5.84 2.04–6.33 | 7.63 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.20 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.48 2.26–6.69 1.69–7.26 | 5.75 3.75–7.75 3.21–8.28 | 10.22 6.01–14.44 4.90–15.54 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 34.31 27.52–41.10 25.85–42.77 | 65.51 58.72–72.29 57.05–73.96 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 296 228–363 210–381 | 570 503–636 486–654 | 865 732–999 696–1035 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.23 59.20–67.26 57.91–68.55 | 77.84 73.52–82.17 72.21–83.48 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 12.31 9.47–15.14 8.71–15.90 | 10.45 7.51–13.40 6.76–14.15 | 22.76 16.98–28.54 15.47–30.05 | 61% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.43 1.17–5.68 0.59–6.27 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 46% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.73–4.60 1.34–4.99 | 2.53 0.97–4.08 0.55–4.51 | 5.69 2.70–8.69 1.89–9.50 | 52% 17% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.