Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
26%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction0.991.522.51safe0.02–1.960.66–2.370.69–4.33safer0.00–2.210.43–2.600.21–4.81
Shots on target
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.494.377.86safe1.63–5.352.62–6.114.25–11.46safer1.14–5.842.16–6.573.30–12.42
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4213.8625.28safe7.50–15.3410.30–17.4217.79–32.77safer6.40–16.449.34–18.3815.74–34.82
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.269.1816.44safe4.31–10.206.50–11.8610.82–22.06safer3.48–11.035.76–12.609.25–23.63
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.254.177.41safe1.36–5.132.51–5.823.88–10.95safer0.82–5.672.02–6.312.84–11.98
Corners
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.405.509.89safe2.18–6.613.50–7.505.68–14.10safer1.61–7.182.96–8.034.57–15.21
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.1561.43safe31.36–44.9454.65–68.22safer29.69–46.6152.98–69.89
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction338535873safe271–405468–601739–1007safer253–423451–619704–1042
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction62.7577.35safe58.72–66.7873.02–81.67safer57.43–68.0771.71–82.98
Fouls
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6710.6324.30safe10.83–16.517.68–13.5718.52–30.08safer10.08–17.276.93–14.3217.01–31.59
Offsides
51%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.303.15safe0.70–3.020.20–2.390.90–5.41safer0.40–3.320.00–2.680.31–6.00
Yellow cards
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.713.79safe1.03–3.130.58–2.841.61–5.97safer0.76–3.400.29–3.131.05–6.52
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
50%
17%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.982.455.43safe1.55–4.420.89–4.002.44–8.42safer1.16–4.810.47–4.431.63–9.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 1.52 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 2.51 0.69–4.33 0.21–4.81 | 25% 26% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.49 1.63–5.35 1.14–5.84 | 4.37 2.62–6.11 2.16–6.57 | 7.86 4.25–11.46 3.30–12.42 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Total shots | 11.42 7.50–15.34 6.40–16.44 | 13.86 10.30–17.42 9.34–18.38 | 25.28 17.79–32.77 15.74–34.82 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 7.26 4.31–10.20 3.48–11.03 | 9.18 6.50–11.86 5.76–12.60 | 16.44 10.82–22.06 9.25–23.63 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.36–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 4.17 2.51–5.82 2.02–6.31 | 7.41 3.88–10.95 2.84–11.98 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.40 2.18–6.61 1.61–7.18 | 5.50 3.50–7.50 2.96–8.03 | 9.89 5.68–14.10 4.57–15.21 | 30% 57% |
| Possession % | 38.15 31.36–44.94 29.69–46.61 | 61.43 54.65–68.22 52.98–69.89 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 338 271–405 253–423 | 535 468–601 451–619 | 873 739–1007 704–1042 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.75 58.72–66.78 57.43–68.07 | 77.35 73.02–81.67 71.71–82.98 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 13.67 10.83–16.51 10.08–17.27 | 10.63 7.68–13.57 6.93–14.32 | 24.30 18.52–30.08 17.01–31.59 | 70% 24% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.30 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 3.15 0.90–5.41 0.31–6.00 | 51% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.76–3.40 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.05–6.52 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.55–4.42 1.16–4.81 | 2.45 0.89–4.00 0.47–4.43 | 5.43 2.44–8.42 1.63–9.24 | 50% 17% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.