Championship·Regular Season - 23·
Championship·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.382.98safe0.63–2.570.52–2.231.15–4.80safer0.38–2.820.29–2.460.67–5.28
Shots on target
52%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.834.138.96safe2.97–6.692.39–5.875.35–12.56safer2.48–7.181.92–6.344.40–13.52
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1212.6327.75safe11.19–19.049.06–16.1920.26–35.23safer10.10–20.148.10–17.1518.21–37.28
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction9.758.4118.16safe6.81–12.695.73–11.0912.54–23.78safer5.98–13.524.99–11.8310.97–25.35
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.363.818.17safe2.48–6.242.16–5.474.64–11.71safer1.93–6.781.67–5.963.60–12.74
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.604.5910.18safe3.39–7.812.59–6.595.97–14.40safer2.81–8.392.05–7.124.86–15.50
Possession %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction47.5953.13safe40.80–54.3846.34–59.91safer39.13–56.0544.67–61.59
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction391436827safe324–458370–503694–961safer306–476352–520658–997
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction68.6174.01safe64.58–72.6469.68–78.33safer63.29–73.9368.37–79.64
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7211.8822.60safe7.88–13.568.94–14.8316.82–28.38safer7.13–14.328.19–15.5715.32–29.89
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.823.79safe0.81–3.130.73–2.921.54–6.05safer0.51–3.430.44–3.210.95–6.64
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.143.83safe0.65–2.741.01–3.271.65–6.01safer0.38–3.010.72–3.561.10–6.57
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.256.18safe1.49–4.361.69–4.813.18–9.17safer1.10–4.751.27–5.232.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 1.38 0.52–2.23 0.29–2.46 | 2.98 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.69 2.48–7.18 | 4.13 2.39–5.87 1.92–6.34 | 8.96 5.35–12.56 4.40–13.52 | 52% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.12 11.19–19.04 10.10–20.14 | 12.63 9.06–16.19 8.10–17.15 | 27.75 20.26–35.23 18.21–37.28 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.75 6.81–12.69 5.98–13.52 | 8.41 5.73–11.09 4.99–11.83 | 18.16 12.54–23.78 10.97–25.35 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 4.36 2.48–6.24 1.93–6.78 | 3.81 2.16–5.47 1.67–5.96 | 8.17 4.64–11.71 3.60–12.74 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.60 3.39–7.81 2.81–8.39 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.05–7.12 | 10.18 5.97–14.40 4.86–15.50 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 47.59 40.80–54.38 39.13–56.05 | 53.13 46.34–59.91 44.67–61.59 | — | 35% 61% |
| Passes | 391 324–458 306–476 | 436 370–503 352–520 | 827 694–961 658–997 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.61 64.58–72.64 63.29–73.93 | 74.01 69.68–78.33 68.37–79.64 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 10.72 7.88–13.56 7.13–14.32 | 11.88 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.57 | 22.60 16.82–28.38 15.32–29.89 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 1.82 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.21 | 3.79 1.54–6.05 0.95–6.64 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.65–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 3.25 1.69–4.81 1.27–5.23 | 6.18 3.18–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.