Championship·Regular Season - 23·
Championship·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
27%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.202.54safe0.37–2.310.35–2.060.72–4.36safer0.12–2.560.12–2.290.24–4.84
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.904.268.16safe2.04–5.762.52–6.004.56–11.77safer1.55–6.252.05–6.473.60–12.72
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0312.7125.74safe9.11–16.969.15–16.2718.26–33.23safer8.02–18.058.19–17.2316.21–35.28
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.098.5016.60safe5.15–11.045.82–11.1910.97–22.22safer4.32–11.875.09–11.929.41–23.79
Blocked shots
41%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.873.997.87safe1.99–5.762.34–5.644.33–11.40safer1.45–6.301.85–6.143.30–12.44
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.094.669.75safe2.88–7.312.66–6.665.54–13.96safer2.31–7.882.12–7.194.43–15.07
Possession %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction51.0549.70safe44.26–57.8442.92–56.49safer42.59–59.5141.24–58.16
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction481425906safe414–548359–492773–1040safer396–566342–509737–1076
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction68.6971.63safe64.66–72.7267.30–75.95safer63.37–74.0166.00–77.26
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7510.0921.84safe8.91–14.587.15–13.0416.06–27.62safer8.15–15.346.40–13.7914.55–29.13
Offsides
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.262.90safe0.48–2.800.17–2.360.65–5.15safer0.18–3.100.00–2.640.06–5.74
Yellow cards
47%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.633.65safe0.97–3.070.50–2.761.48–5.83safer0.71–3.340.21–3.050.92–6.39
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.892.565.45safe1.45–4.331.00–4.122.46–8.44safer1.07–4.710.58–4.541.65–9.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 40% 27% 33% |
| Shots on target | 3.90 2.04–5.76 1.55–6.25 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 8.16 4.56–11.77 3.60–12.72 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.03 9.11–16.96 8.02–18.05 | 12.71 9.15–16.27 8.19–17.23 | 25.74 18.26–33.23 16.21–35.28 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.09 5.15–11.04 4.32–11.87 | 8.50 5.82–11.19 5.09–11.92 | 16.60 10.97–22.22 9.41–23.79 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.99–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 3.99 2.34–5.64 1.85–6.14 | 7.87 4.33–11.40 3.30–12.44 | 41% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 5.09 2.88–7.31 2.31–7.88 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.12–7.19 | 9.75 5.54–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 51.05 44.26–57.84 42.59–59.51 | 49.70 42.92–56.49 41.24–58.16 | — | 51% 44% |
| Passes | 481 414–548 396–566 | 425 359–492 342–509 | 906 773–1040 737–1076 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.69 64.66–72.72 63.37–74.01 | 71.63 67.30–75.95 66.00–77.26 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.75 8.91–14.58 8.15–15.34 | 10.09 7.15–13.04 6.40–13.79 | 21.84 16.06–27.62 14.55–29.13 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.26 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.64 | 2.90 0.65–5.15 0.06–5.74 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.71–3.34 | 1.63 0.50–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 3.65 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 47% 21% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.45–4.33 1.07–4.71 | 2.56 1.00–4.12 0.58–4.54 | 5.45 2.46–8.44 1.65–9.26 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+